Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally
South Pepperell Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 25017327103 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 3,786 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 25017327103 covers part of the South Pepperell area of Pepperell, MA, and scores 7.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 45%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,452
Renter share21.6%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate14.2%
Median income$98,779
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Pepperell and the region
Centroid at 42.6454, -71.6175 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Pepperell scores 7.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Pepperell
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
14.2% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$638 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pepperell
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pepperell
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pepperell
6.4
How South Pepperell compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 49%Household composition
- 36%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 25Total filings over 5 yrs
- 1.41%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.5%Peak (2013)
- 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 67% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.7%Housing insecurity
- 5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.5%Food insecurity
- 12.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.6%Transit barriers
- 3.5%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 28.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Pepperell
At $638 a month, rents run 44% under what the rest of Pepperell commands. Against Middlesex County at 43.0%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. It sits 1.2 points above the Middlesex County average of 6.3. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10.
Court records carry 25 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Food insecurity runs 9.5% against 17.8% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.5% against 11.3% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2013 at 2.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.4% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 88th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017327103
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017327103?
Census tract 25017327103 in the South Pepperell neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017327103?
Median gross rent is $638/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017327103?
14.2% of residents in tract 25017327103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,786.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017327103?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 49th, minority 36th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 25017327103 considered part of South Pepperell?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017327103 fall within South Pepperell (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017327103?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 25 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017327103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.41% of renter households, peaking at 2.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25017327103 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25017327103 compare to Pepperell overall?
Tract 25017327103 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Pepperell at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pepperell; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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