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Neighborhood · Pepperell, MA

South Pepperell Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 3,786 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.5/10 · range 7.5–7.5

South Pepperell is a one-tract neighborhood of Pepperell, MA, population 3,786. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.5/10, in the Elevated tier. 45% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

59% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Pepperell rate of 35.4%. At $638 a month, rents sit 44% under what the rest of Pepperell commands. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10.

Running cool is supply constraint, at 1/10. Court records for this tract carry 25 eviction filings.

On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.4/10. 3.5% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Filing activity peaked in 2013 at 2.5% of renter households.

Food insecurity affects 9.5% of adults, 8.3 points below the national rate. Recent filings have not receded much: 1.6% in 2016 against a 2.5% peak.

At 22% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 7.5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.5
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
South Pepperell vs Pepperell How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
58.8% +66%
Pepperell: 35.4%
Average gross rent
$638 -44%
Pepperell: $1,139
Average HH income
$98,779 +30%
Pepperell: $76,196
Poverty rate
14.2% +34%
Pepperell: 10.6%
Renter share
21.6% -57%
Pepperell: 50.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Pepperell and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 7.5–7.5

Why South Pepperell scores 7.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
59% of income on rent · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
22% renter households · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts
9.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Economic stress
14.2% below poverty line · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

South Pepperell vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

South Pepperell score vs. parent city, state, U.S.South Pepperell: 7.57.5South PepperellNeighborhoodParent city: 6.46.4Parent cityhost cityState: 6.46.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in South Pepperell

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25017327103 7.5 3,786 59% $638
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 41

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 24%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 49%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 36%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 67%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in South Pepperell

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 25Total filings (sum)
  • 1.41%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.5%Peak year (2013)
  • 1.55%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Pepperell

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About South Pepperell

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for South Pepperell?

South Pepperell scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does South Pepperell compare to Pepperell overall?

South Pepperell scores 1.1 points higher than Pepperell overall (6.4/10). Renters spend 59% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $638 vs $1,139.
Q3

What is the average rent in South Pepperell?

Average gross rent in South Pepperell is $638/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of South Pepperell residents are renters?

22% of South Pepperell households are renter-occupied (vs 51% in Pepperell). The neighborhood has 3,786 residents.
Q5

Is South Pepperell a high social-vulnerability area?

South Pepperell sits in the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is South Pepperell for landlords?

South Pepperell carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Pepperell as a whole (6.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of South Pepperell?

South Pepperell has 3,678 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (76.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (10.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Pepperell

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