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Neighborhood · Somerville, MA

Winter Hill Eviction Risk: High

1 census tracts · pop 3,905 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.3/10 · range 9.3–9.3

Winter Hill maps to a single census tract in Somerville, MA and houses 3,905 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 9.3/10, in the High tier. Against a Somerville baseline of 24.9%, 44% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

25% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. 72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. The strongest single driver of the headline number is eviction-process difficulty at 8/10.

Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is housing-court posture at 8/10.

Average gross rent is $2,015, 20% below the Somerville average of $2,517. The poverty rate is 17%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Among the 10 mapped neighborhoods of Somerville, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $98,359.

One tract means one number: 9.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
9.3
High
1 tracts · population-weighted
Winter Hill vs Somerville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.3% +78%
Somerville: 24.9%
Average gross rent
$2,015 -20%
Somerville: $2,517
Average HH income
$98,359 -23%
Somerville: $127,056
Poverty rate
16.7% +65%
Somerville: 10.2%
Renter share
72.2% +10%
Somerville: 65.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Winter Hill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 9.3–9.3

Why Winter Hill scores 9.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
44% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
72% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Economic stress
16.7% below poverty line · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Risk score comparison

Winter Hill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Winter Hill score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Winter Hill: 9.39.3Winter HillNeighborhoodParent city: 7.97.9Parent cityhost cityState: 6.46.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Winter Hill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25017350108 9.3 3,905 44% $2,015
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 57

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 68%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 32%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 56%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 47%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Winter Hill

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Winter Hill

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Winter Hill?

Winter Hill scores 9.3/10 (High tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Winter Hill compare to Somerville overall?

Winter Hill scores 1.4 points higher than Somerville overall (7.9/10). Renters spend 44% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $2,015 vs $2,517.
Q3

What is the average rent in Winter Hill?

Average gross rent in Winter Hill is $2,015/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Winter Hill residents are renters?

72% of Winter Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 66% in Somerville). The neighborhood has 3,905 residents.
Q5

Is Winter Hill a high social-vulnerability area?

Winter Hill sits in the 57th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Winter Hill for landlords?

Winter Hill carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Somerville as a whole (7.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Winter Hill?

Winter Hill has 3,814 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (55.6%), Hispanic / Latino (19.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (11.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Winter Hill

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Somerville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Winter Hill.

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