Skip to content
Neighborhood · Somerville, MA

East Somerville Eviction Risk: High

3 census tracts · pop 8,624 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.7/10 · range 7.8–9.1

East Somerville is a 3-tract neighborhood of Somerville, MA and houses 8,624 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 8.7/10, in the High tier. 41% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Somerville rate of 24.9%.

Severe burden reaches 23%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. What pushes the score up most is eviction-process difficulty at 8/10. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10.

Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 7.8 to 9.1. A 1.3-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Running hot is housing-court posture at 8/10. Filings are well documented here: 160 across 2 observed tracts.

Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 2.0% of renter households. At $2,324 a month, rents sit 8% under what the rest of Somerville commands. Among the 10 mapped neighborhoods of Somerville, it ranks #2 by risk, the upper third.

Judgments average 1.1% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $107,876. 64% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 8.7 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
8.7
High
3 tracts · population-weighted
East Somerville vs Somerville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
40.6% +63%
Somerville: 24.9%
Average gross rent
$2,324 -8%
Somerville: $2,517
Average HH income
$107,876 -15%
Somerville: $127,056
Poverty rate
13.3% +31%
Somerville: 10.2%
Renter share
64.0% -3%
Somerville: 65.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across East Somerville and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 7.8–9.1

Why East Somerville scores 8.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
64% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Economic stress
13.3% below poverty line · Range 2.0–4.5 across tracts
3.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.9–5.3 across tracts
3.2
Risk score comparison

East Somerville vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

East Somerville score vs. parent city, state, U.S.East Somerville: 8.78.7East SomervilleNeighborhoodParent city: 7.97.9Parent cityhost cityState: 6.46.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in East Somerville?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.3 points from 7.8 to 9.1. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in East Somerville

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25017351403 9.1 3,906 43% $2,246
25017351404 8.5 3,633 33% $2,234
25017350107 7.8 1,085 58% $2,910
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 57

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 52%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 28%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 59%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in East Somerville

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 160Total filings (sum)
  • 1.57%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.0%Peak year (2016)
  • 1.98%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in East Somerville

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About East Somerville

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for East Somerville?

East Somerville scores 8.7/10 (High tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does East Somerville compare to Somerville overall?

East Somerville scores 0.8 points higher than Somerville overall (7.9/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $2,324 vs $2,517.
Q3

What is the average rent in East Somerville?

Average gross rent in East Somerville eviction risk is $2,324/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of East Somerville residents are renters?

64% of East Somerville households are renter-occupied (vs 66% in Somerville). The neighborhood has 8,624 residents.
Q5

Is East Somerville a high social-vulnerability area?

East Somerville sits in the 57th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in East Somerville have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in East Somerville is census tract 25017351403 (score 9.1/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.8 to 9.1, a spread of 1.3 points.
Q7

How safe is East Somerville for landlords?

East Somerville eviction risk carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.7/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Somerville as a whole (7.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of East Somerville?

East Somerville has 8,825 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (53%), Hispanic / Latino (21.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (11.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near East Somerville

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Somerville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to East Somerville.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further