Neighborhood · Ranked #22,303 of 84,120 nationally

Wedgemere Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Winchester

Tract 25017333300 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 4,019 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

Census tract 25017333300 covers the Wedgemere Historic District neighborhood of Winchester, home to 4,019 residents. For landlords it grades 5.6/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 61st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 42% of renter households, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,075 a month while the average household earns $96,354 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 47% of occupied homes.

Risk score

6.2

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 27% Owners 53%

Tract context

Occupied units1,628

Renter share47.0%

SVI overall0.53

Poverty rate13.5%

Median income$96,354

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Winchester and the region

Centroid at 42.4708, -71.1521 · click any tract to drill in

Why Wedgemere Historic District scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Winchester

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.3

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

13.5% poverty · this tract

3.4

Supply constraint

$2,075 rent vs county FMR

2.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Winchester

7.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Winchester

8.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Winchester

5.9

How Wedgemere Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 53

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

31%Socioeconomic
71%Household composition
30%Racial/ethnic minority
74%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

129Total filings over 5 yrs
3.46%Avg annual filing rate
3.8%Peak (2015)
22Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2012 to 2016

Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

0Total filings 2020-21
0.0Avg monthly (observed)
0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
0.00×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Wedgemere Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.8%Housing insecurity
7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
12.4%Food insecurity
14.6%SNAP enrollment
8.3%Transit barriers
4.9%No health insurance
17.3%Frequent mental distress
26.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Wedgemere Historic District

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winchester, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 129 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 3.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.8% of renter households in 2015.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017333300

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017333300?

Census tract 25017333300 in the Wedgemere Historic District neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25017333300?

Median gross rent is $2,075/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017333300?

13.5% of residents in tract 25017333300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,019.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017333300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 71th, minority 30th, housing 74th.

Is tract 25017333300 considered part of Wedgemere Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017333300 fall within Wedgemere Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017333300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 129 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017333300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.46% of renter households, peaking at 3.8% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 25017333300 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25017333300 compare to Winchester overall?

Tract 25017333300 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Winchester at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winchester; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 25017333300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winchester

Top eight tracts in Winchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.