Neighborhood · Ranked #34,613 of 84,120 nationally

Wedgemere Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Winchester

Tract 25017338200 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 4,028 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

How risky is Wedgemere Historic District in Winchester for landlords? Census tract 25017338200 scores $1/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #73,997 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

21% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,984 a month against an average household income of $139,375 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 27% of occupied homes.

Risk score

5.2

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 21% Owners 73%

Tract context

Occupied units1,556

Renter share27.1%

SVI overall0.63

Poverty rate3.9%

Median income$139,375

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Winchester and the region

Centroid at 42.4638, -71.1381 · click any tract to drill in

Why Wedgemere Historic District scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Winchester

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.3

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

3.9% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,984 rent vs county FMR

2.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Winchester

3.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Winchester

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Winchester

3.1

How Wedgemere Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

20%Socioeconomic
78%Household composition
59%Racial/ethnic minority
93%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
3%Grade B
63%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

25Total filings over 5 yrs
1.31%Avg annual filing rate
2.1%Peak (2013)
3Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2012 to 2016

Filings dropped 40% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

0Total filings 2020-21
0.0Avg monthly (observed)
0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
0.00×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Wedgemere Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.2%Housing insecurity
4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
7.7%Food insecurity
7.8%SNAP enrollment
5.2%Transit barriers
3.0%No health insurance
12.9%Frequent mental distress
22.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Wedgemere Historic District

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winchester, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 63rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017338200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017338200?

Census tract 25017338200 in the Wedgemere Historic District neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25017338200?

Median gross rent is $1,984/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017338200?

3.9% of residents in tract 25017338200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,028.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017338200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 78th, minority 59th, housing 93th.

Is tract 25017338200 considered part of Wedgemere Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017338200 fall within Wedgemere Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017338200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 25 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017338200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.31% of renter households, peaking at 2.1% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 25017338200 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25017338200 compare to Winchester overall?

Tract 25017338200 scores 5.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Winchester at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winchester; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 25017338200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winchester

Top eight tracts in Winchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.