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Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

Wedgemere Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower , Winchester

Tract 25017338500 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 5,868 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 25017338500 covers part of the Wedgemere Historic District area of Winchester, MA, and scores 3.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,868. It sits 2.5 points below the Middlesex County average of 6.3.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 8% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,858
Renter share11.5%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate6.4%
Median income$250,001

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Wedgemere Historic District
High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Winchester
Very High
Within county
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#335 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Very Low
Within state
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#1,465 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winchester and the region

Centroid at 42.4477, -71.1286 · click any tract to drill in

Why Wedgemere Historic District scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winchester
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
6.4% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winchester
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winchester
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winchester
3.1

How Wedgemere Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Wedgemere Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.8This tracttract 3385004.4Winchesterparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 9Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 0.89%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.1%Peak (2012)
  • 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 25017338500
Filings dropped 67% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Wedgemere Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Wedgemere Historic District

Against Middlesex County at 43.0%, 31% of renters here are cost-burdened. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.6/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.3/10.

Running cool, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10. 11% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. SNAP participation runs 6.2% against 15.2% nationally.

The filing record is not thin: 9 evictions over 4 years of observation. Housing insecurity runs 5.9% against 14.2% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2012, when 1.1% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 0.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 38th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 11% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017338500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017338500?

Census tract 25017338500 in the Wedgemere Historic District neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017338500?

6.4% of residents in tract 25017338500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,868.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017338500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 9th, minority 27th, housing 18th.
Q4

Is tract 25017338500 considered part of Wedgemere Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017338500 fall within Wedgemere Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017338500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 9 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 25017338500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.89% of renter households, peaking at 1.1% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 25017338500 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25017338500 compare to Winchester overall?

Tract 25017338500 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Winchester at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winchester; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 25017338500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winchester

Top eight tracts in Winchester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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