Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Eliot Triangle Eviction Risk: Moderate , Needham
Tract 25021403502 · Norfolk County, MA · pop 4,228 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
25021403502 is a census tract in the Eliot Triangle area of Needham, MA. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. 49% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,540
Renter share6.9%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate1.7%
Median income$220,833
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
30
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Needham and the region
Centroid at 42.3028, -71.2392 · click any tract to drill in
Why Eliot Triangle scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Needham
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
1.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,045 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Needham
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Needham
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Needham
5.7
How Eliot Triangle compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 23
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 19%Socioeconomic
- 28%Household composition
- 33%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 27%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Eliot Triangle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.6%Housing insecurity
- 3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.8%Food insecurity
- 5.9%SNAP enrollment
- 4.1%Transit barriers
- 2.5%No health insurance
- 12.5%Frequent mental distress
- 19.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Eliot Triangle
83% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Norfolk County average of 48.1%. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.8/10.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.2/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 2.5% against 11.3% nationally. At $2,045 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Needham commands.
It sits 0.7 points below the Norfolk County average of 5.6. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Needham. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 7% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 25021403502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25021403502?
Census tract 25021403502 in the Eliot Triangle neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25021403502?
Median gross rent is $2,045/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 83% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25021403502?
1.7% of residents in tract 25021403502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,228.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25021403502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 28th, minority 33th, housing 38th.
Q5
Is tract 25021403502 considered part of Eliot Triangle?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25021403502 fall within Eliot Triangle (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 25021403502 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25021403502 compare to Needham overall?
Tract 25021403502 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Needham at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Needham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 25021403502 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 27% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Needham
Top eight tracts in Needham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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