Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,519 of 84,120 nationally
Eliot Triangle Eviction Risk: Elevated , Needham
Tract 25021403501 · Norfolk County, MA · pop 2,629 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Tract 25021403501, home to 2,629 residents in the Eliot Triangle neighborhood of Needham, scores $1/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 75th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 62% of renter households, a severe level, and 51% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,582 a month against an average household income of $124,879 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 53% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,280
Renter share52.7%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate9.1%
Median income$124,879
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Needham and the region
Centroid at 42.3010, -71.2224 · click any tract to drill in
Why Eliot Triangle scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Needham
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
9.1% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$2,582 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Needham
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Needham
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Needham
5.7
How Eliot Triangle compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 11%Grade C
- 26%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Eliot Triangle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.2%Housing insecurity
- 4.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.0%Food insecurity
- 7.7%SNAP enrollment
- 4.8%Transit barriers
- 3.2%No health insurance
- 12.7%Frequent mental distress
- 25.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Eliot Triangle
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Needham eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Norfolk County average of 5.6 and in line with the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 25021403501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25021403501?
Census tract 25021403501 in the Eliot Triangle neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25021403501?
Median gross rent is $2,582/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25021403501?
9.1% of residents in tract 25021403501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,629.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25021403501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 56th, minority 38th, housing 68th.
Q5
Is tract 25021403501 considered part of Eliot Triangle?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25021403501 fall within Eliot Triangle (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 25021403501 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25021403501 compare to Needham overall?
Tract 25021403501 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Needham at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Needham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 25021403501 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 26% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Needham
Top eight tracts in Needham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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