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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally

Bacon-Morse Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Southbridge Town

Tract 25027757500 · Worcester County, MA · pop 4,575 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 25027757500 covers Bacon-Morse Historic District in Southbridge Town, home to 4,575 residents. For landlords it grades $1/10, an elevated reading. That is riskier than roughly 75% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 50% of renter households, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $667 a month against an average household income of $78,030 a year, roughly 10% of income at the averages. About 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 15% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,991
Renter share30.1%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate7.7%
Median income$78,030

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Bacon-Morse Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Southbridge Town
Very Low
Within county
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#60 of 191 tracts In Worcester County
Elevated
Within state
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#539 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Southbridge Town and the region

Centroid at 42.0488, -72.0301 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bacon-Morse Historic District scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Southbridge Town
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
7.7% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$667 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Southbridge Town
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Southbridge Town
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Southbridge Town
5.7

How Bacon-Morse Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bacon-Morse Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.24.2This tracttract 757500Southbridge Town: 5.95.9Southbridge Townparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 27Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 4.58%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.6%Peak (2015)
  • 27Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bacon-Morse Historic District

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 6.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Southbridge Town, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Worcester County average of 6.0 and in line with the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027757500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027757500?

Census tract 25027757500 in the Bacon-Morse Historic District neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25027757500?

Median gross rent is $667/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027757500?

7.7% of residents in tract 25027757500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,575.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027757500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 82th, minority 38th, housing 58th.
Q5

Is tract 25027757500 considered part of Bacon-Morse Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027757500 fall within Bacon-Morse Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027757500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 27 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027757500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.58% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25027757500 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25027757500 compare to Southbridge Town overall?

Tract 25027757500 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Southbridge Town at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Southbridge Town; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Southbridge Town

Top eight tracts in Southbridge Town ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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