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Neighborhood · Grand Rapids, MI

Third Ward Eviction Risk: Lower

7 census tracts · pop 31,883 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10 · range 1.3–4.3

Third Ward is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Grand Rapids with 7 census tracts and a population of 31,883 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.4/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 43% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 24% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,364/month sits 8% higher than the Grand Rapids citywide average ($1,266).

Risk score
3.4
Lower
7 tracts · population-weighted
Third Ward vs Grand Rapids How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
42.5% +44%
Grand Rapids: 29.6%
Average gross rent
$1,364 +8%
Grand Rapids: $1,266
Average HH income
$92,421 +41%
Grand Rapids: $65,526
Poverty rate
9.3% -50%
Grand Rapids: 18.6%
Renter share
27.3% -41%
Grand Rapids: 46.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Third Ward and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 7 tracts span score 1.3–4.3

Why Third Ward scores 3.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.8 across tracts
5.6
Rent control risk
43% of income on rent · Range 1.5–5.1 across tracts
2.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–4.5 across tracts
4.2
Tenant organizing strength
27% renter households · Range 2.2–8.1 across tracts
4.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.4–5.0 across tracts
4.4
Economic stress
9.3% below poverty line · Range 1.1–4.4 across tracts
2.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.5–10.0 across tracts
4.3
Risk score comparison

Third Ward vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Third Ward score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Third Ward: 3.43.4Third WardNeighborhoodParent city: 3.53.5Parent cityhost cityState: 3.33.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Third Ward?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 3 points from 1.3 to 4.3. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

7 tracts in Third Ward

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
26081004200 4.3 3,876 69% $937
26081004501 4 4,776 54% $1,761
26081004400 3.7 7,222 47% $1,165
26081012611 3.7 2,144 41% $1,088
26081003400 3.6 5,013 47% $988
26081004300 3.4 4,040 40% $1,150
26081012500 1.3 4,812 0% $2,307
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 29

Pop-weighted across 7 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 23%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 17%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 43%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 55%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Third Ward

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Third Ward

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Third Ward?

Third Ward scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier) across 7 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Third Ward compare to Grand Rapids overall?

Third Ward scores 0.1 points lower than Grand Rapids overall (3.5/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,364 vs $1,266.
Q3

What is the average rent in Third Ward?

Average gross rent in Third Ward is $1,364/month (pop-weighted across 7 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Third Ward residents are renters?

27% of Third Ward households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Grand Rapids). The neighborhood has 31,883 residents.
Q5

Is Third Ward a high social-vulnerability area?

Third Ward sits in the 29th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Third Ward have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Third Ward is census tract 26081004200 (score 4.3/10). Across the 7 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.3 to 4.3, a spread of 3 points.
Q7

How safe is Third Ward for landlords?

Third Ward carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.4/10). Pop-weighted across 7 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Grand Rapids as a whole (3.5/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Third Ward?

Third Ward has 30,916 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (70%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14.1%), Hispanic / Latino (6.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Third Ward

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Grand Rapids

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Third Ward.

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