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Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Third Ward Eviction Risk: Moderate , Grand Rapids

Tract 26081004501 · Kent County, MI · pop 4,776 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 26081004501 covers part of the Third Ward area of Grand Rapids, MI, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,776 residents. 54% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 14% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,646
Renter share31.5%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate11.6%
Median income$82,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 7 tracts In Third Ward
Elevated
Within parent city
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#37 of 53 tracts In Grand Rapids
Low
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#67 of 145 tracts In Kent County
Moderate
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#1,244 of 2,972 tracts In Michigan
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Grand Rapids and the region

Centroid at 42.9045, -85.6182 · click any tract to drill in

Why Third Ward scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Grand Rapids
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Michigan legislature & governorship
3.3
Economic stress
11.6% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,761 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Grand Rapids
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Grand Rapids
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Grand Rapids
4.5

How Third Ward compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Third Ward risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.2This tracttract 0045014.0Grand Rapidsparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 47

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Third Ward. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Third Ward

At $1,761 a month, rents run 39% over what the rest of Grand Rapids commands. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.2/10.

Against Kent County at 43.7%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. The voucher gap is 22.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7.2/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Nationally it ranks #45,786 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.2/10.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Kent County average of 4.2 closely.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $82,500. 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 26081004501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26081004501?

Census tract 26081004501 in the Third Ward neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 26081004501?

Median gross rent is $1,761/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 26081004501?

11.6% of residents in tract 26081004501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,776.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 26081004501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 39th, minority 73th, housing 73th.
Q5

Is tract 26081004501 considered part of Third Ward?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26081004501 fall within Third Ward (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 26081004501 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 26081004501 compare to Grand Rapids overall?

Tract 26081004501 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Grand Rapids at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Grand Rapids eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 26081004501 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Grand Rapids

Top eight tracts in Grand Rapids ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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