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Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

Third Ward Eviction Risk: Lower , Grand Rapids

Tract 26081004400 · Kent County, MI · pop 7,222 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

With a score of 3.9/10, tract 26081004400 in the Third Ward area of Grand Rapids, MI reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,222. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.2/10.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 21% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units2,335
Renter share38.8%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate8.6%
Median income$82,216

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 tracts In Third Ward
Moderate
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#40 of 53 tracts In Grand Rapids
Low
Within county
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#80 of 145 tracts In Kent County
Moderate
Within state
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#1,468 of 2,972 tracts In Michigan
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Grand Rapids and the region

Centroid at 42.9218, -85.5961 · click any tract to drill in

Why Third Ward scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Grand Rapids
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Michigan legislature & governorship
3.3
Economic stress
8.6% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,165 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Grand Rapids
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Grand Rapids
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Grand Rapids
4.5

How Third Ward compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Third Ward risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.9This tracttract 0044004.0Grand Rapidsparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 24

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Third Ward. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Third Ward

Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.1/10. Food insecurity runs 10.2% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.6% against 15.2% nationally.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $82,216, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

about half of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Kent County average of 4.2 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 26081004400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26081004400?

Census tract 26081004400 in the Third Ward neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 26081004400?

Median gross rent is $1,165/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 26081004400?

8.6% of residents in tract 26081004400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,222.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 26081004400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 8th, minority 25th, housing 56th.
Q5

Is tract 26081004400 considered part of Third Ward?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26081004400 fall within Third Ward (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 26081004400 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 26081004400 compare to Grand Rapids overall?

Tract 26081004400 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Grand Rapids at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Grand Rapids eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 26081004400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Grand Rapids

Top eight tracts in Grand Rapids ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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