Chapel Hill Eviction Risk: Lower

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10. 23% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. At $1,087 a month, rents sit 25% over what the rest of Beechwood commands.

Sitting well above the midpoint is housing-court posture at 7.3/10. Filings are well documented here: 9 across 2 observed tracts.

SNAP participation is 4.9% of households versus 15.2% nationally. 4.0% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

Filing activity peaked in 2018 at 5.0% of renter households. Judgments average 1.7% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

At 7% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Rent takes 10% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes.

With little internal variation, 3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.