Grant Eviction Risk: Elevated , Detroit

Against Wayne County at 46.6%, 68% of renters here are cost-burdened. Annualized rent equals 57% of average household income of $22,656, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. Housing insecurity runs 40.8% against 14.2% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 36.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The poverty rate is 53%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.7/10.

Against the Wayne County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Detroit. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the MI average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,068, close to the Detroit average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.