Von Steuben Eviction Risk: Elevated , Detroit

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.7/10. Housing insecurity runs 33.5% against 14.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 26.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

Against the Wayne County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Cost burden runs 52% here against 46.6% across Wayne County.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Detroit. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 6.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MI average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.