Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Crescent Ponds Eviction Risk: Moderate , Blaine
Tract 27003050823 ·
Anoka County, MN · pop 3,419 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
27003050823 is a census tract in the Crescent Ponds area of Blaine, MN. It scores 4.5/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,419 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 2.2/10.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%Stable renters 5%Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,300
Renter share8.3%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate8.7%
Median income$88,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 3 tracts In Crescent Ponds
Very High
Within parent city
69th percentile
#6 of 17 tracts In Blaine
Elevated
Within county
65th percentile
#32 of 90 tracts In Anoka County
Elevated
Within state
61th percentile
#589 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Blaine and the region
Centroid at 45.2044, -93.2522 · click any tract to drill in
Why Crescent Ponds scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Blaine
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
8.7% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$2,093 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Blaine
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Blaine
3.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Blaine
4.7
How Crescent Ponds compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 36
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
17%Socioeconomic
64%Household composition
43%Racial/ethnic minority
49%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Crescent Ponds. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
10.4%Housing insecurity
6.5%Utility-shutoff threat
12.2%Food insecurity
8.5%SNAP enrollment
7.6%Transit barriers
7.2%No health insurance
16.2%Frequent mental distress
28.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Crescent Ponds
The voucher gap is 24.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. roughly one in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Anoka County average of 43.4%.
At $2,093 a month, rents run 23% over what the rest of Blaine commands. On the high side, supply constraint reads 7.4/10. On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.2/10.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Anoka County average of 4.2 closely. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $88,750.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27003050823
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27003050823?
Census tract 27003050823 in the Crescent Ponds neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27003050823?
Median gross rent is $2,093/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27003050823?
8.7% of residents in tract 27003050823 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,419.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27003050823?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 64th, minority 43th, housing 49th.
Q5
Is tract 27003050823 considered part of Crescent Ponds?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27003050823 fall within Crescent Ponds (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 27003050823 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27003050823 compare to Blaine overall?
Tract 27003050823 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Blaine at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Blaine eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Blaine
Top eight tracts in Blaine ranked by composite eviction-risk score.