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Neighborhood · Blaine, MN

Crescent Ponds Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 10,962 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10 · range 3.5–4.5

Crescent Ponds is a 3-tract neighborhood of Blaine, MN, population 10,962. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.2/10, in the Moderate tier. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 2.2/10.

Against a Blaine baseline of 27.1%, around a third of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Severe burden reaches 13%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

The 3 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3.5 to 4.5, a 1-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. The voucher gap is 15.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

At $1,946 a month, rents sit 14% over what the rest of Blaine commands. Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Blaine, it ranks #2 by risk, the middle third. At 25% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $102,920.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.2 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Crescent Ponds vs Blaine How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
33.8% +25%
Blaine: 27.1%
Average gross rent
$1,946 +14%
Blaine: $1,705
Average HH income
$102,920 0%
Blaine: $103,382
Poverty rate
8.9% +38%
Blaine: 6.5%
Renter share
25.0% +70%
Blaine: 14.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Crescent Ponds and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.5–4.5

Why Crescent Ponds scores 4.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Rent control risk
34% of income on rent · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
25% renter households · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts
3.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Economic stress
8.9% below poverty line · Range 1.5–2.7 across tracts
2.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.9–8.1 across tracts
6.6
Risk score comparison

Crescent Ponds vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Crescent Ponds score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.2Crescent PondsNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city4.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Crescent Ponds?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1 points from 3.5 to 4.5. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Crescent Ponds

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
27003050823 4.5 3,419 35% $2,093
27003050824 4.3 4,781 31% $2,199
27003050825 3.5 2,762 38% $1,325
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 35

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 24%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 44%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 47%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 50%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Crescent Ponds

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Crescent Ponds

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Crescent Ponds?

Crescent Ponds scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Crescent Ponds compare to Blaine overall?

Crescent Ponds scores 0.2 points higher than Blaine overall (4/10). Renters spend 34% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $1,946 vs $1,705.
Q3

What is the average rent in Crescent Ponds?

Average gross rent in Crescent Ponds is $1,946/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Crescent Ponds residents are renters?

25% of Crescent Ponds households are renter-occupied (vs 15% in Blaine). The neighborhood has 10,962 residents.
Q5

Is Crescent Ponds a high social-vulnerability area?

Crescent Ponds sits in the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Crescent Ponds have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Crescent Ponds is census tract 27003050823 (score 4.5/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.5 to 4.5, a spread of 1 points.
Q7

How safe is Crescent Ponds for landlords?

Crescent Ponds carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Blaine as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Crescent Ponds?

Crescent Ponds has 11,800 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (66.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Crescent Ponds

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Blaine

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Crescent Ponds.

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