Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally

Crescent Ponds Eviction Risk: Moderate , Blaine

Tract 27003050824 · Anoka County, MN · pop 4,781 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 27003050824 covers part of the Crescent Ponds area of Blaine, MN, and scores 4.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,781 residents. Cost burden runs 31% here against 43.4% across Anoka County.

Risk score

4.3

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 29% Owners 58%

Tract context

Occupied units1,540

Renter share41.5%

SVI overall0.46

Poverty rate10.8%

Median income$105,255

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Blaine and the region

Centroid at 45.1850, -93.2448 · click any tract to drill in

Why Crescent Ponds scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Blaine

5.4

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.9

State political climate

Minnesota legislature & governorship

4.3

Economic stress

10.8% poverty · this tract

2.7

Supply constraint

$2,199 rent vs county FMR

8.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Blaine

5.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Blaine

3.7

Housing court bias

Inherited from Blaine

4.7

How Crescent Ponds compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

36%Socioeconomic
28%Household composition
58%Racial/ethnic minority
68%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Crescent Ponds. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.4%Housing insecurity
7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
14.0%Food insecurity
9.8%SNAP enrollment
8.4%Transit barriers
8.2%No health insurance
16.6%Frequent mental distress
30.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Crescent Ponds

The voucher gap is 30.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. At $2,199 a month, rents run 29% over what the rest of Blaine commands.

What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 8.1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.7/10.

The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Nationally it ranks #44,239 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 5.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. It tracks the Anoka County average of 4.2 closely. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $105,255.

41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 27003050824

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27003050824?

Census tract 27003050824 in the Crescent Ponds neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 27003050824?

Median gross rent is $2,199/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 27003050824?

10.8% of residents in tract 27003050824 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,781.

How socially vulnerable is tract 27003050824?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 28th, minority 58th, housing 68th.

Is tract 27003050824 considered part of Crescent Ponds?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27003050824 fall within Crescent Ponds (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 27003050824 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 27003050824 compare to Blaine overall?

Tract 27003050824 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Blaine at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Blaine eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Blaine

Top eight tracts in Blaine ranked by composite eviction-risk score.