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Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally

Waite Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Columbia Heights

Tract 27003051501 · Anoka County, MN · pop 3,005 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 27003051501 sits in the Waite Park area of Columbia Heights eviction risk, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.5/10. Population here is 3,005. Against Anoka County at 43.4%, 61% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 18% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,384
Renter share46.7%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate21.5%
Median income$53,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Waite Park
Very High
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 6 tracts In Columbia Heights
High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 90 tracts In Anoka County
Very High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#146 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Columbia Heights and the region

Centroid at 45.0432, -93.2437 · click any tract to drill in

Why Waite Park scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Columbia Heights
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
21.5% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,219 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Columbia Heights
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Columbia Heights
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Columbia Heights
7.8

How Waite Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Waite Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.56.5This tracttract 051501Columbia Heights: 5.15.1Columbia Heightsparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 105Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 4.65%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.5%Peak (2012)
  • 31Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 270030515012009: 27 filings (6.70/100 renter HHs)2010: 17 filings (3.00/100 renter HHs)2011: 30 filings (4.38/100 renter HHs)2012: 31 filings (4.53/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Waite Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Waite Park

31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9/10.

It sits 2.3 points above the Anoka County average of 4.2. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 7.8/10.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.2/10. The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 105 filings here across 4 tracked years.

Filings peaked in 2012 at 4.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.2/10. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 27003051501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27003051501?

Census tract 27003051501 in the Waite Park neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27003051501?

Median gross rent is $1,219/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27003051501?

21.5% of residents in tract 27003051501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,005.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27003051501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 96th, minority 65th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 27003051501 considered part of Waite Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27003051501 fall within Waite Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27003051501?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 105 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 27003051501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.65% of renter households, peaking at 4.5% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 27003051501 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 27003051501 compare to Columbia Heights overall?

Tract 27003051501 scores 6.5/10, higher than the parent city of Columbia Heights at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Columbia Heights eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Columbia Heights

Top eight tracts in Columbia Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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