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Neighborhood · Columbia Heights, MN

Waite Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 6,631 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10 · range 5.3–6.5

Waite Park takes in 2 census tracts of Columbia Heights, MN and houses 6,631 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.8/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 57% against 43.8% citywide, putting Waite Park 13.1% over its own city.

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9/10. 25% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.1/10.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 5.3 to 6.5, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Sitting well above the midpoint is housing-court posture at 7.8/10.

Filings are well documented here: 146 across 2 observed tracts. Filing activity peaked in 2012 at 4.5% of renter households.

At $1,193 a month, rents sit 8% under what the rest of Columbia Heights commands. Judgments average 1.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 5.8 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Waite Park vs Columbia Heights How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.9% +30%
Columbia Heights: 43.8%
Average gross rent
$1,193 -8%
Columbia Heights: $1,295
Average HH income
$74,951 +0%
Columbia Heights: $74,688
Poverty rate
13.7% -5%
Columbia Heights: 14.4%
Renter share
39.3% +15%
Columbia Heights: 34.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Waite Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.3–6.5

Why Waite Park scores 5.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
57% of income on rent · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Tenant organizing strength
39% renter households · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.8–7.8 across tracts
7.8
Economic stress
13.7% below poverty line · Range 1.8–5.4 across tracts
3.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.0–2.2 across tracts
2.1
Risk score comparison

Waite Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Waite Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Waite Park: 5.85.8Waite ParkNeighborhoodParent city: 5.15.1Parent cityhost cityState: 4.54.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Waite Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
27003051501 6.5 3,005 61% $1,219
27003051502 5.3 3,626 54% $1,172
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 57

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 35%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 68%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 63%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Waite Park

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 146Total filings (sum)
  • 3.31%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.5%Peak year (2012)
  • 2.99%Latest filed (2012)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Waite Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Waite Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Waite Park?

Waite Park scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Waite Park compare to Columbia Heights overall?

Waite Park scores 0.7 points higher than Columbia Heights overall (5.1/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 44% citywide. Average rent: $1,193 vs $1,295.
Q3

What is the average rent in Waite Park?

Average gross rent in Waite Park is $1,193/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Waite Park residents are renters?

39% of Waite Park households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Columbia Heights). The neighborhood has 6,631 residents.
Q5

Is Waite Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Waite Park sits in the 57th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Waite Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Waite Park is census tract 27003051501 (score 6.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.3 to 6.5, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Waite Park for landlords?

Waite Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Columbia Heights as a whole (5.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Waite Park?

Waite Park has 6,812 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (49.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (27%), Hispanic / Latino (12.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Waite Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Columbia Heights

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Waite Park.

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