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Neighborhood · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally

Waite Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Columbia Heights

Tract 27003051502 · Anoka County, MN · pop 3,626 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Eviction risk in the Waite Park area of Columbia Heights centers on tract 27003051502, which scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 3,626 residents. That is riskier than about 80% of US census tracts.

About 54% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,172 monthly, set against $92,521 in average yearly household income, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 15% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,511
Renter share33.2%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate7.2%
Median income$92,521

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Waite Park
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 6 tracts In Columbia Heights
Very Low
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 90 tracts In Anoka County
High
Within state
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#572 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Columbia Heights and the region

Centroid at 45.0419, -93.2334 · click any tract to drill in

Why Waite Park scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Columbia Heights
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
7.2% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,172 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Columbia Heights
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Columbia Heights
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Columbia Heights
7.8

How Waite Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Waite Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.04.0This tracttract 051502Columbia Heights: 5.35.3Columbia Heightsparent cityCounty: 2.42.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 41Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 2.20%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.2%Peak (2010)
  • 9Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 270030515022009: 9 filings (2.18/100 renter HHs)2010: 14 filings (3.19/100 renter HHs)2011: 9 filings (1.72/100 renter HHs)2012: 9 filings (1.72/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Waite Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Waite Park

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Columbia Heights eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Anoka County average of 5.3 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 27003051502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27003051502?

Census tract 27003051502 in the Waite Park neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27003051502?

Median gross rent is $1,172/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27003051502?

7.2% of residents in tract 27003051502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,626.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27003051502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 45th, minority 61th, housing 63th.
Q5

Is tract 27003051502 considered part of Waite Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27003051502 fall within Waite Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27003051502?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 41 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 27003051502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.20% of renter households, peaking at 3.2% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 27003051502 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 27003051502 compare to Columbia Heights overall?

Tract 27003051502 scores 4/10, lower than the parent city of Columbia Heights at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Columbia Heights eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Columbia Heights

Top eight tracts in Columbia Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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