Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Waite Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Columbia Heights
Tract 27003051502 · Anoka County, MN · pop 3,626 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
27003051502 is a census tract in the Waite Park area of Columbia Heights, MN. It scores 5.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,626. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9/10.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,511
Renter share33.2%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate7.2%
Median income$92,521
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Columbia Heights and the region
Centroid at 45.0419, -93.2334 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waite Park scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Columbia Heights
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
7.2% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,172 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Columbia Heights
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Columbia Heights
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Columbia Heights
7.8
How Waite Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 45%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 41Total filings over 4 yrs
- 2.20%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.2%Peak (2010)
- 9Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Waite Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.9%Housing insecurity
- 6.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.6%Food insecurity
- 8.3%SNAP enrollment
- 7.7%Transit barriers
- 8.7%No health insurance
- 15.1%Frequent mental distress
- 29.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waite Park
54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Anoka County average of 43.4%. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.8/10. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2/10. Against the Anoka County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 41 filings here across 4 tracked years.
At $1,172 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Columbia Heights commands. The worst year on record was 2010, when 3.2% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 67th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.2/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27003051502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27003051502?
Census tract 27003051502 in the Waite Park neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27003051502?
Median gross rent is $1,172/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27003051502?
7.2% of residents in tract 27003051502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,626.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27003051502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 45th, minority 61th, housing 63th.
Q5
Is tract 27003051502 considered part of Waite Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27003051502 fall within Waite Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27003051502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 41 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 27003051502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.20% of renter households, peaking at 3.2% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27003051502 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27003051502 compare to Columbia Heights overall?
Tract 27003051502 scores 5.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Columbia Heights at 5.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Columbia Heights eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Columbia Heights
Top eight tracts in Columbia Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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