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Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

Northdale Eviction Risk: Moderate , Coon Rapids

Tract 27003050702 · Anoka County, MN · pop 3,536 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

27003050702 is a census tract in the Northdale area of Coon Rapids, MN. It scores 4.1/10 for landlords. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.3/10.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 12% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,334
Renter share20.6%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$96,765

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Northdale
Very Low
Within parent city
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 16 tracts In Coon Rapids
Low
Within county
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#44 of 90 tracts In Anoka County
Moderate
Within state
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#732 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Coon Rapids and the region

Centroid at 45.1811, -93.2794 · click any tract to drill in

Why Northdale scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Coon Rapids
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,767 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Coon Rapids
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Coon Rapids
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Coon Rapids
5.9

How Northdale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Northdale risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 050702Coon Rapids: 4.24.2Coon Rapidsparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 50Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 7.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.5%Peak (2009)
  • 10Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 270030507022009: 17 filings (13.52/100 renter HHs)2010: 11 filings (5.42/100 renter HHs)2011: 12 filings (5.26/100 renter HHs)2012: 10 filings (4.39/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 41% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Northdale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Northdale

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.3/10. At $1,767 a month, rents run 18% over what the rest of Coon Rapids commands. The filing record is not thin: 50 evictions over 4 years of observation.

SNAP participation runs 7.8% against 15.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2009 at 13.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 7.1% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 41% of renters.

It tracks the Anoka County average of 4.2 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 27003050702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27003050702?

Census tract 27003050702 in the Northdale neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27003050702?

Median gross rent is $1,767/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27003050702?

5.3% of residents in tract 27003050702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,536.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27003050702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 24th, minority 29th, housing 16th.
Q5

Is tract 27003050702 considered part of Northdale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27003050702 fall within Northdale (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27003050702?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 50 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 27003050702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.15% of renter households, peaking at 13.5% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 27003050702 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 27003050702 compare to Coon Rapids overall?

Tract 27003050702 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Coon Rapids at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Coon Rapids eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Coon Rapids

Top eight tracts in Coon Rapids ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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