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Census Tract · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally

Waconia Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 27019090302 · Carver County, MN · pop 5,933 · 77% of tract blocks fall in Waconia

27019090302 is a census tract in Waconia, MN. It scores 3.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,933 residents. Average gross rent is $1,888, 42% above the Waconia average.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 9% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units2,234
Renter share12.5%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate2.8%
Median income$130,074

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Waconia
Very Low
Within county
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 25 tracts In Carver County
Low
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#1,040 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Low
National
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#59,654 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Waconia and the region

Centroid at 44.8213, -93.8001 · click any tract to drill in

Why Waconia scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Waconia
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
2.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,888 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Waconia
5.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Waconia
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Waconia
4.1

How Waconia compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Waconia risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.4This tracttract 0903024.0Waconiaparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 6

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Waconia

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Cost burden runs 25% here against 38.4% across Carver County. Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

SNAP participation runs 5.2% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 7.9% against 17.8% nationally. The voucher gap is 12.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.5/10.

Against average income of $130,074, annual rent is just 17%. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 27019090302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27019090302?

Census tract 27019090302 in Waconia scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27019090302?

Median gross rent is $1,888/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27019090302?

2.8% of residents in tract 27019090302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,933.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27019090302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 11th, minority 12th, housing 22th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 27019090302 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 27019090302 compare to Waconia overall?

Tract 27019090302 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Waconia at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Waconia; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Waconia

Top eight tracts in Waconia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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