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Census Tract · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally

Waconia Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 27019090304 · Carver County, MN · pop 3,401 · 41% of tract blocks fall in Waconia

Here is how census tract 27019090304, in Waconia, looks to a landlord: a $1/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 3,401. It lands near the 39th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 61% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,038 monthly, set against $161,140 in average yearly household income, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 7% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 3% Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,297
Renter share6.7%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$161,140

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Waconia
Moderate
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 25 tracts In Carver County
Moderate
Within state
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#1,319 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very Low
National
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#79,998 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Waconia and the region

Centroid at 44.8632, -93.8433 · click any tract to drill in

Why Waconia scores 1.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Waconia
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,038 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Waconia
5.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Waconia
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Waconia
4.1

How Waconia compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Waconia risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.41.4This tracttract 090304Waconia: 4.84.8Waconiaparent cityCounty: 1.61.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Waconia

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 7.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Waconia, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Carver County average of 4.4 and in line with the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 2nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27019090304

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27019090304?

Census tract 27019090304 in Waconia scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27019090304?

Median gross rent is $2,038/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27019090304?

8.1% of residents in tract 27019090304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,401.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27019090304?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 7th, minority 5th, housing 7th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 27019090304 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 27019090304 compare to Waconia overall?

Tract 27019090304 scores 1.4/10, lower than the parent city of Waconia at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Waconia; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Waconia

Top eight tracts in Waconia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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