Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
Watertown Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27019090102 · Carver County, MN · pop 3,286 · 68% of tract blocks fall in Watertown
Tract 27019090102 sits in Watertown, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. It is home to 3,286 residents. 18% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Carver County average of 38.4%.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,269
Renter share25.4%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate9.9%
Median income$84,036
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
64
th percentile
Elevated
National
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Watertown and the region
Centroid at 44.9639, -93.8273 · click any tract to drill in
Why Watertown scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Watertown
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
9.9% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$925 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Watertown
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Watertown
4.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Watertown
4.3
How Watertown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 3%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.3%Housing insecurity
- 5.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.6%Food insecurity
- 8.1%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 7.4%No health insurance
- 16.3%Frequent mental distress
- 28.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Watertown
The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.5/10.
Against the Carver County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. SNAP participation runs 8.1% against 15.2% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $84,036, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $925, close to the Watertown average.
25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27019090102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27019090102?
Census tract 27019090102 in Watertown scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27019090102?
Median gross rent is $925/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27019090102?
9.9% of residents in tract 27019090102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,286.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27019090102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 36th, minority 3th, housing 82th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 27019090102 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 27019090102 compare to Watertown overall?
Tract 27019090102 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Watertown at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Watertown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Watertown
Top eight tracts in Watertown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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