Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Watertown Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27019090101 · Carver County, MN · pop 2,889 · 27% of tract blocks fall in Watertown
Census tract 27019090101 covers part of Watertown, MN, and scores 3.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,889. 84% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Carver County average of 38.4%.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,072
Renter share7.6%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate7.0%
Median income$107,813
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
National
38
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Watertown and the region
Centroid at 44.9326, -93.8395 · click any tract to drill in
Why Watertown scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Watertown
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
7.0% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,355 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Watertown
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Watertown
4.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Watertown
4.3
How Watertown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 3%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.1%Housing insecurity
- 5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.3%Food insecurity
- 6.4%SNAP enrollment
- 6.1%Transit barriers
- 5.9%No health insurance
- 15.4%Frequent mental distress
- 25.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Watertown
Average gross rent is $1,355, 46% above the Watertown average. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.7/10. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 3/10. SNAP participation runs 6.4% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 9.3% against 17.8% nationally.
On the national scale it lands near the 38th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 8% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 1.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $107,813, annual rent is just 15%. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Carver County average of 3.9 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27019090101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27019090101?
Census tract 27019090101 in Watertown scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27019090101?
Median gross rent is $1,355/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 84% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27019090101?
7.0% of residents in tract 27019090101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,889.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27019090101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 7th, minority 3th, housing 34th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 27019090101 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 27019090101 compare to Watertown overall?
Tract 27019090101 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Watertown at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Watertown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Watertown
Top eight tracts in Watertown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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