Neighborhood · Apple Valley, MN

Old Town Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 18,932 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.7/10 · range 1.1–2.2

Old Town is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Apple Valley with 3 census tracts and a population of 18,932 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.7/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 35% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 22% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,680/month sits 3% lower than the Apple Valley citywide average ($1,738).

Risk score

1.7

Lower

3 tracts · population-weighted

Old Town vs Apple Valley How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

34.8% +12%

Apple Valley: 31.2%

Average gross rent

$1,680 -3%

Apple Valley: $1,738

Average HH income

$105,166 +6%

Apple Valley: $99,277

Poverty rate

3.7% -37%

Apple Valley: 5.9%

Renter share

27.2% +2%

Apple Valley: 26.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Old Town and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 1.1–2.2

Why Old Town scores 1.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts

4.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts

6.1

Rent control risk

35% of income on rent · Range 6.9–7.3 across tracts

7.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.6 across tracts

4.6

Tenant organizing strength

27% renter households · Range 3.2–6.0 across tracts

5.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.9–5.2 across tracts

5.1

Economic stress

3.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.4 across tracts

1.1

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.6–5.5 across tracts

5.0

Risk score comparison

Old Town vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Old Town?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.1 points from 1.1 to 2.2. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

2.2 2.0 1.1

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Old Town

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
27037060828	2.2	5,431	46%	$1,768
27037060812	2	6,979	33%	$1,622
27037060819	1.1	6,522	27%	$1,669

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 37

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 20%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 55%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 44%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 44%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Old Town

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

339Total filings (sum)
10.02%Avg annual filing rate
58.3%Peak year (2009)
4.66%Latest filed (2013)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Old Town

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

8.4%Housing insecurity
5.5%Utility shutoff threat
9.8%Food insecurity
6.5%SNAP enrollment
6.9%No health insurance
24.8%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Old Town

What is the eviction-risk score for Old Town?

Old Town scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Old Town compare to Apple Valley overall?

Old Town scores 3.2 points lower than Apple Valley overall (4.9/10). Renters spend 35% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,680 vs $1,738.

What is the average rent in Old Town?

Average gross rent in Old Town is $1,680/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Old Town residents are renters?

27% of Old Town households are renter-occupied (vs 27% in Apple Valley). The neighborhood has 18,932 residents.

Is Old Town a high social-vulnerability area?

Old Town sits in the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Old Town have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Old Town is census tract 27037060828 (score 2.2/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.1 to 2.2, a spread of 1.1 points.

How safe is Old Town for landlords?

Old Town carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.7/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Apple Valley as a whole (4.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Old Town?

Old Town has 18,995 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (68.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (13.1%), Other / Multiracial (6.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Old Town

2.3 Redwood 4 tracts · pop 19,508 1.9 Scott Highlands 3 tracts · pop 9,804 1.3 Argonne 3 tracts · pop 16,405 1.7 Cedar Knolls 3 tracts · pop 10,803 1.7 Glendalough 3 tracts · pop 8,562 3.8 West Side 2 tracts · pop 6,526

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Apple Valley

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Old Town.

1.7 Cedar Knolls 3 tracts · pop 10,803 2 Scott Highlands 3 tracts · pop 9,804 2.3 Redwood 4 tracts · pop 19,508

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