3 census tracts · pop 18,932 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10
· range 3–4.8
Old Town takes in 3 census tracts of Apple Valley, MN and houses 18,932 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.1/10, Moderate tier. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.1/10.
22% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 3 to 4.8. A 1.8-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.
Court records carry 339 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7/10.
Cost burden runs around a third against 31.2% citywide, putting Old Town 3.6% over its own city. SNAP participation is 6.5% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Filing activity peaked in 2009 at 58.3% of renter households.
The most recent observed rate, 4.6% in 2013, is well off that peak. Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Apple Valley, it ranks #4 by risk, the lower third.
Only 27% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. The closest comparables inside the same city are Cedar Knolls and Scott Highlands.
Against average income of $105,166, annual rent is only 19%, a wide affordability cushion.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.1 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Old Town vs Apple ValleyHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority44%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport44%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Old Town
Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
339Total filings (sum)
10.02%Avg annual filing rate
58.3%Peak year (2009)
4.66%Latest filed (2013)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Old Town
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
8.4%Housing insecurity
5.5%Utility shutoff threat
9.8%Food insecurity
6.5%SNAP enrollment
6.9%No health insurance
24.8%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Old Town
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Old Town?
Old Town scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Old Town compare to Apple Valley overall?
Old Town scores 0.2 points lower than Apple Valley overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 35% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,680 vs $1,738.
Q3
What is the average rent in Old Town?
Average gross rent in Old Town is $1,680/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Old Town residents are renters?
27% of Old Town households are renter-occupied (vs 27% in Apple Valley). The neighborhood has 18,932 residents.
Q5
Is Old Town a high social-vulnerability area?
Old Town sits in the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Old Town have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Old Town is census tract 27037060828 (score 4.8/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 4.8, a spread of 1.8 points.
Q7
How safe is Old Town for landlords?
Old Town carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Apple Valley as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Old Town?
Old Town has 18,995 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (68.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (13.1%), Other / Multiracial (6.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
