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Neighborhood · Ranked #71,178 of 84,120 nationally

Old Town Eviction Risk: Lower , Apple Valley

Tract 27037060828 · Dakota County, MN · pop 5,431 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

The Old Town area of Apple Valley anchors census tract 27037060828, which lands at 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 46% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,768 a month while the average household earns $77,789 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 68% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
2.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 37% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units2,464
Renter share67.9%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$77,789

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Old Town
Very High
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 13 tracts In Apple Valley
High
Within county
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#41 of 106 tracts In Dakota County
Elevated
Within state
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#1,090 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Apple Valley and the region

Centroid at 44.7241, -93.2085 · click any tract to drill in

Why Old Town scores 2.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,768 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Apple Valley
5.2

How Old Town compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Old Town risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.22.2This tracttract 060828Apple Valley: 4.94.9Apple Valleyparent cityCounty: 2.12.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 190Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 5.53%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.6%Peak (2009)
  • 39Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 270370608282009: 63 filings (12.56/100 renter HHs)2010: 39 filings (5.56/100 renter HHs)2011: 18 filings (1.95/100 renter HHs)2012: 31 filings (3.37/100 renter HHs)2013: 39 filings (4.23/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 38% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Old Town. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Old Town

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 6.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Apple Valley eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Dakota County average of 5.3 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 190 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 5.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 12.6% of renter households in 2009.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27037060828

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060828?

Census tract 27037060828 in the Old Town neighborhood scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27037060828?

Median gross rent is $1,768/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060828?

3.6% of residents in tract 27037060828 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,431.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060828?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 65th, minority 62th, housing 81th.
Q5

Is tract 27037060828 considered part of Old Town?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27037060828 fall within Old Town (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060828?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 190 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060828 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.53% of renter households, peaking at 12.6% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 27037060828 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 27037060828 compare to Apple Valley overall?

Tract 27037060828 scores 2.2/10, lower than the parent city of Apple Valley at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Apple Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Apple Valley

Top eight tracts in Apple Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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