Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally
Old Town Eviction Risk: Lower , Apple Valley
Tract 27037060819 · Dakota County, MN · pop 6,522 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
For landlords sizing up the Old Town neighborhood of Apple Valley, census tract 27037060819 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. On the national scale it ranks #54,626 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
27% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,669 monthly, set against $137,940 in average yearly household income, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 7% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units2,249
Renter share6.7%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate1.9%
Median income$137,940
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
8
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
5
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
6
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Apple Valley and the region
Centroid at 44.7054, -93.2311 · click any tract to drill in
Why Old Town scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
1.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,669 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Apple Valley
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Apple Valley
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Apple Valley
4.9
How Old Town compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 1
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 0%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 26%Racial/ethnic minority
- 11%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 52Total filings over 5 yrs
- 18.19%Avg annual filing rate
- 58.3%Peak (2009)
- 6Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 57% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Old Town. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.4%Housing insecurity
- 4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.8%Food insecurity
- 4.1%SNAP enrollment
- 4.8%Transit barriers
- 4.9%No health insurance
- 14.0%Frequent mental distress
- 20.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Old Town
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Apple Valley eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Dakota County average of 5.3 and in line with the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 52 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 18.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 58.3% of renter households in 2009.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037060819
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060819?
Census tract 27037060819 in the Old Town neighborhood scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037060819?
Median gross rent is $1,669/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060819?
1.9% of residents in tract 27037060819 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,522.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060819?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 0th, household 9th, minority 26th, housing 11th.
Q5
Is tract 27037060819 considered part of Old Town?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27037060819 fall within Old Town (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060819?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 52 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060819 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.19% of renter households, peaking at 58.3% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27037060819 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27037060819 compare to Apple Valley overall?
Tract 27037060819 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Apple Valley at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Apple Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Apple Valley
Top eight tracts in Apple Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
27037060830
1.9
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
Argonne
1.7
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
27037061501
1.7
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
27037060836
1.6
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
Argonne
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
27037060831
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
27037060833
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MN
27037060835
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
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