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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Old Town Eviction Risk: Lower , Apple Valley

Tract 27037060819 · Dakota County, MN · pop 6,522 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Tract 27037060819 sits in the Old Town area of Lakeville eviction risk, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 6,522. Against Dakota County at 45.6%, 27% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 5% Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units2,249
Renter share6.7%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate1.9%
Median income$137,940

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Old Town
Very Low
Within parent city
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#11 of 14 tracts In Apple Valley
Low
Within county
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#99 of 106 tracts In Dakota County
Very Low
Within state
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#1,230 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Apple Valley and the region

Centroid at 44.7054, -93.2311 · click any tract to drill in

Why Old Town scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
1.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,669 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Apple Valley
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Apple Valley
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Apple Valley
4.9

How Old Town compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Old Town risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0608194.3Apple Valleyparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 52Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 18.19%Avg annual filing rate
  • 58.3%Peak (2009)
  • 6Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 27037060819
Filings dropped 57% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Old Town. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Old Town

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. 16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Against the Dakota County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. Food insecurity runs 6.8% against 17.8% nationally.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.3/10. The filing record is not thin: 52 evictions over 5 years of observation. Housing insecurity runs 6.4% against 14.2% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2009, when 58.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 18.2% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.1/10. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $137,940, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 27037060819

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060819?

Census tract 27037060819 in the Old Town neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27037060819?

Median gross rent is $1,669/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060819?

1.9% of residents in tract 27037060819 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,522.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060819?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 0th, household 9th, minority 26th, housing 11th.
Q5

Is tract 27037060819 considered part of Old Town?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27037060819 fall within Old Town (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060819?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 52 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060819 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.19% of renter households, peaking at 58.3% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 27037060819 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 27037060819 compare to Apple Valley overall?

Tract 27037060819 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Apple Valley at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Apple Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Apple Valley

Top eight tracts in Apple Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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