Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #79,124 of 84,120 nationally
Mendota Heights Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27037060606 · Dakota County, MN · pop 2,562
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 27037060606 in Mendota Heights ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,562 residents. It lands near the 53rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,647 monthly, set against $117,833 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 23% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,110
Renter share22.6%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$117,833
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
34
th percentile
Low
Within state
14
th percentile
Very Low
National
6
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mendota Heights and the region
Centroid at 44.8730, -93.1170 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mendota Heights scores 1.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mendota Heights
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,647 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mendota Heights
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mendota Heights
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mendota Heights
3.4
How Mendota Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 14
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 5%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 15%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 6Total filings over 4 yrs
- 1.31%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.9%Peak (2010)
- 1Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.9%Housing insecurity
- 3.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.7%Food insecurity
- 3.7%SNAP enrollment
- 4.1%Transit barriers
- 4.3%No health insurance
- 11.7%Frequent mental distress
- 23.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mendota Heights
The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 4.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mendota Heights, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Dakota County average of 5.3 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 6 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 1.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.9% of renter households in 2010.
In CDC survey modeling, about 4.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037060606
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060606?
Census tract 27037060606 in Mendota Heights scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037060606?
Median gross rent is $1,647/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060606?
4.2% of residents in tract 27037060606 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,562.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060606?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 18th, minority 15th, housing 56th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060606?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 6 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 27037060606 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.31% of renter households, peaking at 1.9% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27037060606 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27037060606 compare to Mendota Heights overall?
Tract 27037060606 scores 1.5/10, lower than the parent city of Mendota Heights at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mendota Heights; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mendota Heights
Top eight tracts in Mendota Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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