Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Mendota Heights Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27037060606 · Dakota County, MN · pop 2,562
Tract 27037060606 sits in Mendota Heights, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.5/10. It is home to 2,562 residents. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,110
Renter share22.6%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$117,833
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
32
th percentile
Low
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
National
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mendota Heights and the region
Centroid at 44.8730, -93.1170 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mendota Heights scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mendota Heights
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,647 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mendota Heights
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mendota Heights
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mendota Heights
3.4
How Mendota Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 14
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 5%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 15%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 6Total filings over 4 yrs
- 1.31%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.9%Peak (2010)
- 1Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.9%Housing insecurity
- 3.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.7%Food insecurity
- 3.7%SNAP enrollment
- 4.1%Transit barriers
- 4.3%No health insurance
- 11.7%Frequent mental distress
- 23.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mendota Heights
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.1/10. Against Dakota County at 45.6%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10.
Housing insecurity runs 4.9% against 14.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 6 evictions over 4 years of observation.
Against the Dakota County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The worst year on record was 2010, when 1.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #57,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 23% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.3/10.
Against average income of $117,833, annual rent is just 17%.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037060606
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060606?
Census tract 27037060606 in Mendota Heights scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037060606?
Median gross rent is $1,647/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060606?
4.2% of residents in tract 27037060606 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,562.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060606?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 18th, minority 15th, housing 56th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060606?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 6 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 27037060606 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.31% of renter households, peaking at 1.9% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27037060606 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27037060606 compare to Mendota Heights overall?
Tract 27037060606 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Mendota Heights at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mendota Heights; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mendota Heights
Top eight tracts in Mendota Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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