Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally
Mendota Heights Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27037060603 · Dakota County, MN · pop 4,265 · 91% of tract blocks fall in Mendota Heights
Mendota Heights in Dakota County anchors census tract 27037060603, which lands at 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 61st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
79% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 49% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,341 monthly, set against $135,250 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 12% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,722
Renter share11.7%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate2.9%
Median income$135,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
6
th percentile
Very Low
National
2
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mendota Heights and the region
Centroid at 44.9009, -93.1217 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mendota Heights scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mendota Heights
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
2.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,341 rent vs county FMR
8.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mendota Heights
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mendota Heights
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mendota Heights
3.4
How Mendota Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 24%Racial/ethnic minority
- 27%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 1%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 13Total filings over 5 yrs
- 1.87%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.7%Peak (2009)
- 1Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 75% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.2%Housing insecurity
- 3.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.9%Food insecurity
- 3.1%SNAP enrollment
- 3.6%Transit barriers
- 4.2%No health insurance
- 10.7%Frequent mental distress
- 24.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mendota Heights
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 8.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mendota Heights, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Dakota County average of 5.3 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 13 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 1.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.7% of renter households in 2009.
In CDC survey modeling, about 4.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037060603
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060603?
Census tract 27037060603 in Mendota Heights scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037060603?
Median gross rent is $2,341/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060603?
2.9% of residents in tract 27037060603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,265.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060603?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 20th, minority 24th, housing 27th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060603?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 13 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060603 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.87% of renter households, peaking at 3.7% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27037060603 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27037060603 compare to Mendota Heights overall?
Tract 27037060603 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Mendota Heights at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mendota Heights; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 27037060603 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mendota Heights
Top eight tracts in Mendota Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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