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Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Mendota Heights Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 27037060603 · Dakota County, MN · pop 4,265 · 91% of tract blocks fall in Mendota Heights

27037060603 is a census tract in Mendota Heights, MN. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,265 residents. Severe burden reaches 49%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 2% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,722
Renter share11.7%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate2.9%
Median income$135,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Mendota Heights
Low
Within county
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#93 of 106 tracts In Dakota County
Very Low
Within state
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#1,230 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very Low
National
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mendota Heights and the region

Centroid at 44.9009, -93.1217 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mendota Heights scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mendota Heights
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
2.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,341 rent vs county FMR
8.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mendota Heights
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mendota Heights
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mendota Heights
3.4

How Mendota Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mendota Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0606034.0Mendota Heightsparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 13Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 1.87%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.7%Peak (2009)
  • 1Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 27037060603
Filings dropped 75% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mendota Heights

79% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Dakota County average of 45.6%. At $2,341 a month, rents run 44% over what the rest of Mendota Heights commands.

The voucher gap is 38.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.

Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.9/10. SNAP participation runs 3.1% against 15.2% nationally.

Against the Dakota County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 13 filings here across 5 tracked years. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.2% against 11.3% nationally.

Filings peaked in 2009 at 3.7% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Paul. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 1.9% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 27037060603

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060603?

Census tract 27037060603 in Mendota Heights scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27037060603?

Median gross rent is $2,341/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060603?

2.9% of residents in tract 27037060603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,265.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060603?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 20th, minority 24th, housing 27th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060603?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 13 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060603 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.87% of renter households, peaking at 3.7% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 27037060603 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 27037060603 compare to Mendota Heights overall?

Tract 27037060603 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Mendota Heights at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mendota Heights; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 27037060603 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mendota Heights

Top eight tracts in Mendota Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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