Mendota Heights Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27037060603 · Dakota County, MN · pop 4,265 · 91% of tract blocks fall in Mendota Heights
27037060603 is a census tract in Mendota Heights, MN. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,265 residents. Severe burden reaches 49%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Mendota Heights and the region
Centroid at 44.9009, -93.1217 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mendota Heights scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Mendota Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 24%Racial/ethnic minority
- 27%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 1%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 13Total filings over 5 yrs
- 1.87%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.7%Peak (2009)
- 1Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.2%Housing insecurity
- 3.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.9%Food insecurity
- 3.1%SNAP enrollment
- 3.6%Transit barriers
- 4.2%No health insurance
- 10.7%Frequent mental distress
- 24.3%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Mendota Heights
79% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Dakota County average of 45.6%. At $2,341 a month, rents run 44% over what the rest of Mendota Heights commands.
The voucher gap is 38.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.
Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.9/10. SNAP participation runs 3.1% against 15.2% nationally.
Against the Dakota County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 13 filings here across 5 tracked years. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.2% against 11.3% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2009 at 3.7% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Paul. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 1.9% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 27037060603
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060603?
What is the average rent in tract 27037060603?
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060603?
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060603?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060603?
What share of households in tract 27037060603 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 27037060603 compare to Mendota Heights overall?
Was tract 27037060603 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Mendota Heights
Top eight tracts in Mendota Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.