Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Mendota Heights Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27037060605 · Dakota County, MN · pop 2,632 · 97% of tract blocks fall in Mendota Heights
27037060605 is a census tract in Mendota Heights, MN. It scores 3.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,632. 16% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Dakota County average of 45.6%.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 47%
Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units994
Renter share56.7%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate1.7%
Median income$97,024
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
46
th percentile
Moderate
National
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mendota Heights and the region
Centroid at 44.8730, -93.1560 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mendota Heights scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mendota Heights
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
1.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,405 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mendota Heights
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mendota Heights
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mendota Heights
3.4
How Mendota Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 49%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 23%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 11Total filings over 5 yrs
- 0.92%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.0%Peak (2011)
- 2Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.5%Housing insecurity
- 5.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.8%Food insecurity
- 7.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.0%Transit barriers
- 7.5%No health insurance
- 15.1%Frequent mental distress
- 28.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mendota Heights
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10.
The filing record is not thin: 11 evictions over 5 years of observation. Average gross rent is $1,405, 14% below the Mendota Heights average.
SNAP participation runs 7.8% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.8% against 17.8% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2011 at 2.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 0.9% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $97,024, annual rent is just 17%.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037060605
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060605?
Census tract 27037060605 in Mendota Heights scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037060605?
Median gross rent is $1,405/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060605?
1.7% of residents in tract 27037060605 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,632.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060605?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 49th, minority 63th, housing 23th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060605?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 11 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060605 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.92% of renter households, peaking at 2.0% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27037060605 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27037060605 compare to Mendota Heights overall?
Tract 27037060605 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Mendota Heights at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mendota Heights; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mendota Heights
Top eight tracts in Mendota Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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