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Neighborhood · Ranked #2,438 of 84,120 nationally

Elliot Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Minneapolis

Tract 27053005901 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 3,007 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

How risky is the Elliot Park neighborhood of Minneapolis for landlords? Census tract 27053005901 scores 7.1/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than roughly 96% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,065 a month against an average household income of $25,625 a year, roughly 50% of income at the averages. About 97% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 55% Stable renters 42% Owners 3%
Tract context
Occupied units1,443
Renter share97.0%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate44.0%
Median income$25,625

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Elliot Park
Very High
Within parent city
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 121 tracts In Minneapolis
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 329 tracts In Hennepin County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region

Centroid at 44.9676, -93.2600 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elliot Park scores 7.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
44.0% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,065 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0

How Elliot Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elliot Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.87.8This tracttract 005901Minneapolis: 6.46.4Minneapolisparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 248Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 3.23%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.7%Peak (2010)
  • 52Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 270530059012009: 47 filings (3.06/100 renter HHs)2010: 55 filings (3.66/100 renter HHs)2011: 49 filings (3.16/100 renter HHs)2012: 45 filings (2.90/100 renter HHs)2013: 52 filings (3.35/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 505Total filings 2020-21
  • 6.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.02×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2020-02-01: 2 filings (0.76× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2020-04-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.22× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.23× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2021-09-01: 2 filings (0.59× baseline)2021-10-01: 3 filings (0.73× baseline)2021-11-01: 2 filings (0.59× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-01-01: 3 filings (0.92× baseline)2022-02-01: 2 filings (0.76× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-04-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 3 filings (0.68× baseline)2022-06-01: 6 filings (1.50× baseline)2022-07-01: 5 filings (1.11× baseline)2022-08-01: 7 filings (1.65× baseline)2022-09-01: 4 filings (1.18× baseline)2022-10-01: 4 filings (0.97× baseline)2022-11-01: 5 filings (1.48× baseline)2022-12-01: 11 filings (3.67× baseline)2023-01-01: 6 filings (1.85× baseline)2023-02-01: 10 filings (3.82× baseline)2023-03-01: 12 filings (6.86× baseline)2023-04-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-05-01: 13 filings (2.97× baseline)2023-06-01: 8 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 22 filings (4.89× baseline)2023-08-01: 8 filings (1.88× baseline)2023-09-01: 7 filings (2.07× baseline)2023-10-01: 9 filings (2.18× baseline)2023-11-01: 3 filings (0.89× baseline)2023-12-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-01-01: 6 filings (1.85× baseline)2024-02-01: 10 filings (3.82× baseline)2024-03-01: 22 filings (12.57× baseline)2024-04-01: 8 filings (2.67× baseline)2024-05-01: 4 filings (0.91× baseline)2024-06-01: 4 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 10 filings (2.22× baseline)2024-08-01: 12 filings (2.82× baseline)2024-09-01: 5 filings (1.48× baseline)2024-10-01: 11 filings (2.67× baseline)2024-11-01: 6 filings (1.78× baseline)2024-12-01: 11 filings (3.67× baseline)2025-01-01: 9 filings (2.77× baseline)2025-02-01: 17 filings (6.49× baseline)2025-03-01: 17 filings (9.71× baseline)2025-04-01: 5 filings (1.67× baseline)2025-05-01: 11 filings (2.51× baseline)2025-06-01: 4 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 8 filings (1.78× baseline)2025-08-01: 3 filings (0.71× baseline)2025-09-01: 20 filings (5.92× baseline)2025-10-01: 17 filings (4.13× baseline)2025-11-01: 20 filings (5.92× baseline)2025-12-01: 19 filings (6.33× baseline)2026-01-01: 13 filings (130.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 8 filings (80.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 20 filings (200.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 29 filings (290.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elliot Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elliot Park

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the Hennepin County average of 5.6 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 24.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.02x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 27053005901

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053005901?

Census tract 27053005901 in the Elliot Park neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27053005901?

Median gross rent is $1,065/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27053005901?

44.0% of residents in tract 27053005901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,007.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27053005901?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 78th, minority 62th, housing 99th.
Q5

Is tract 27053005901 considered part of Elliot Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053005901 fall within Elliot Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053005901?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 248 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053005901 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.23% of renter households, peaking at 3.7% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 27053005901 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.02× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 27053005901 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 27053005901 compare to Minneapolis overall?

Tract 27053005901 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 27053005901 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis

Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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