Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
University Eviction Risk: High , Minneapolis
Tract 27053104901 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 6,843 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 27053104901 covers part of the University area of Minneapolis, MN, and scores 8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,843 residents. 49% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 62%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units726
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate66.6%
Median income$21,489
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 44.9753, -93.2327 · click any tract to drill in
Why University scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
66.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,559 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How University compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 0%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 9%Grade B
- 10%Grade C
- 16%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 20Total filings 2020-21
- 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.99×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.9%Housing insecurity
- 14.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 38.1%Food insecurity
- 31.9%SNAP enrollment
- 26.1%Transit barriers
- 14.1%No health insurance
- 30.3%Frequent mental distress
- 41.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in University
Cost burden runs 62% here against 43.1% across Hennepin County. Annualized rent equals 87% of average household income of $21,489, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. Against the Hennepin County average of 5.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.9 points. The poverty rate is 67%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Food insecurity runs 38.1% against 17.8% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 9/10.
SNAP participation runs 31.9% against 15.2% nationally. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. At $1,559 a month, rents run 14% over what the rest of Minneapolis commands.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053104901
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053104901?
Census tract 27053104901 in the University neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053104901?
Median gross rent is $1,559/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053104901?
66.6% of residents in tract 27053104901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,843.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053104901?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 0th, minority 43th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 27053104901 considered part of University?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053104901 fall within University (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27053104901 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.99× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27053104901 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27053104901 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053104901 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 27053104901 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 16% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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