Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #2,438 of 84,120 nationally
Prospect Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Minneapolis
Tract 27053104902 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 4,714 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 27053104902 sits in Prospect Park in Minneapolis eviction risk, Minnesota eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 7.2/10. It lands near the 97th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
63% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,288 monthly, set against $33,775 in average yearly household income, roughly 46% of income at the averages. Renters make up 93% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 58%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 7%
Tract context
Occupied units1,975
Renter share92.6%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate49.7%
Median income$33,775
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
97
th percentile
Very High
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 44.9694, -93.2218 · click any tract to drill in
Why Prospect Park scores 7.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
49.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,288 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Prospect Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 6%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 15%Grade B
- 29%Grade C
- 12%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 228Total filings 2020-21
- 3.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.48×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Prospect Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.2%Housing insecurity
- 11.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.0%Food insecurity
- 22.0%SNAP enrollment
- 18.6%Transit barriers
- 11.5%No health insurance
- 23.1%Frequent mental distress
- 32.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Prospect Park
The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the Hennepin County average of 5.6 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 17.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Part of this tract, about 12% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053104902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053104902?
Census tract 27053104902 in the Prospect Park neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053104902?
Median gross rent is $1,288/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053104902?
49.7% of residents in tract 27053104902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,714.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053104902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 6th, minority 69th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 27053104902 considered part of Prospect Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053104902 fall within Prospect Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27053104902 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.48× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27053104902 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27053104902 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053104902 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 27053104902 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 12% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
University
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Cedar-Riverside
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Como
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Cedar-Riverside
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Hawthorne
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Elliot Park
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Phillips West
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Ventura Village
7.7
/ 10 · High
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