Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #2,540 of 84,120 nationally
Prospect Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Minneapolis
Tract 27053104902 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 4,714 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 27053104902 sits in the Prospect Park neighborhood of Minneapolis, Minnesota. It has a population of 4,714 and an eviction-risk score of 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). 63% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 37% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,288/month against a median household income of $33,775 — roughly 46% rent-to-income at the medians.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 58%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 7%
Tract context
Occupied units1,975
Renter share92.6%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate49.7%
Median income$33,775
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
98
th percentile
Very High
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 44.9694, -93.2218 · click any tract to drill in
Why Prospect Park scores 7.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
49.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,288 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Prospect Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 6%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C — Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 15%Grade B
- 29%Grade C
- 12%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org) — 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 228Total filings 2020-21
- 3.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.48×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Prospect Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.2%Housing insecurity
- 11.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.0%Food insecurity
- 22.0%SNAP enrollment
- 18.6%Transit barriers
- 11.5%No health insurance
- 23.1%Frequent mental distress
- 32.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About tract 27053104902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053104902?
Census tract 27053104902 in the Prospect Park neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053104902?
Median gross rent is $1,288/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053104902?
49.7% of residents in tract 27053104902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,714.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053104902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 6th, minority 69th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 27053104902 considered part of Prospect Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053104902 fall within Prospect Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27053104902 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.48× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27053104902 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.1% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27053104902 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053104902 scores 7.2/10 — right in line with the parent city of Minneapolis at 7.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 27053104902 historically redlined?
Yes — this tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 12% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
Como
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
University
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
Como
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
Midtown Phillips
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
Hawthorne
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
Marcy-Holmes
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
Prospect Park
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
Elliot Park
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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