Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally
Fulton Eviction Risk: Moderate , Minneapolis
Tract 27053111300 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 5,159 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
For landlords sizing up the Fulton area of Minneapolis, census tract 27053111300 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.7/10. It lands near the 64th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 29% of renter households, a moderate level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,056 a month against an average household income of $177,833 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. Renters make up 12% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,952
Renter share12.1%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$177,833
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
8
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
62
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 44.9073, -93.3093 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fulton scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$2,056 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Fulton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 4
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 3%Socioeconomic
- 24%Household composition
- 14%Racial/ethnic minority
- 9%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 64%Grade A
- 27%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 35Total filings over 5 yrs
- 3.28%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.8%Peak (2009)
- 6Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 40% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 13Total filings 2020-21
- 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.62×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Fulton. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.8%Housing insecurity
- 3.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.7%Food insecurity
- 3.4%SNAP enrollment
- 4.2%Transit barriers
- 4.4%No health insurance
- 12.2%Frequent mental distress
- 19.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fulton
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hennepin County average of 5.6 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 35 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 3.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.8% of renter households in 2009.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.62x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053111300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053111300?
Census tract 27053111300 in the Fulton neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053111300?
Median gross rent is $2,056/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053111300?
5.3% of residents in tract 27053111300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,159.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053111300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 24th, minority 14th, housing 9th.
Q5
Is tract 27053111300 considered part of Fulton?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053111300 fall within Fulton (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053111300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 35 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053111300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.28% of renter households, peaking at 5.8% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053111300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.62× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053111300 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053111300 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053111300 scores 4/10, lower than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053111300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
Cedar-Riverside
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
University
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Como
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Hawthorne
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Elliot Park
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Cedar-Riverside
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Prospect Park
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Ventura Village
7.7
/ 10 · High
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