Tract 27053102100 ·
Hennepin County, MN · pop 2,588 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 8/10, tract 27053102100 in the Jordan area of Minneapolis, MN reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,588 residents. The severe-burden share is 40%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%Stable renters 15%Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units762
Renter share51.4%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate33.0%
Median income$45,789
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#2 of 3 tracts In Jordan
Moderate
Within parent city
71th percentile
#36 of 121 tracts In Minneapolis
Elevated
Within county
96th percentile
#13 of 329 tracts In Hennepin County
Very High
Within state
100th percentile
#1 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 45.0029, -93.3004 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jordan scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
33.0% poverty · this tract
8.2
Supply constraint
$1,327 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Jordan compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
97%Socioeconomic
97%Household composition
87%Racial/ethnic minority
84%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
0%Grade B
100%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
446Total filings over 5 yrs
29.05%Avg annual filing rate
46.8%Peak (2009)
77Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year2009 to 2013
Filings dropped 31% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
303Total filings 2020-21
3.9Avg monthly (observed)
4.8Pre-pandemic baseline
0.81×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
35.1%Housing insecurity
25.8%Utility-shutoff threat
47.4%Food insecurity
46.2%SNAP enrollment
26.6%Transit barriers
18.8%No health insurance
23.8%Frequent mental distress
41.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Jordan
Cost burden runs 70% here against 43.1% across Hennepin County. It sits 2.9 points above the Hennepin County average of 5.1. Housing insecurity runs 35.1% against 14.2% nationally.
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. The poverty rate is 33%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $45,789, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 25.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 446 evictions over 5 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2009, when 46.8% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 29.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053102100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053102100?
Census tract 27053102100 in the Jordan neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053102100?
Median gross rent is $1,327/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053102100?
33.0% of residents in tract 27053102100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,588.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053102100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 97th, minority 87th, housing 84th.
Q5
Is tract 27053102100 considered part of Jordan?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053102100 fall within Jordan (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053102100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 446 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053102100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 29.05% of renter households, peaking at 46.8% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053102100 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.81× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053102100 struggle to pay rent?
About 35.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053102100 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053102100 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053102100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.