Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Midtown Phillips Eviction Risk: High , Minneapolis
Tract 27053125800 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 4,828 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 8/10, tract 27053125800 in the Midtown Phillips area of Minneapolis, MN reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,828. Severe burden reaches 40%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,683
Renter share58.7%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate42.0%
Median income$51,102
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
95
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 44.9537, -93.2575 · click any tract to drill in
Why Midtown Phillips scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
42.0% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,449 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Midtown Phillips compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 399Total filings over 5 yrs
- 8.57%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.9%Peak (2009)
- 53Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 42% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 336Total filings 2020-21
- 4.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.16×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Midtown Phillips. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 29.4%Housing insecurity
- 20.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 38.4%Food insecurity
- 34.9%SNAP enrollment
- 21.5%Transit barriers
- 21.0%No health insurance
- 20.6%Frequent mental distress
- 38.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Midtown Phillips
Cost burden runs 64% here against 43.1% across Hennepin County. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. Against the Hennepin County average of 5.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.9 points.
The poverty rate is 42%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Food insecurity runs 38.4% against 17.8% nationally.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 9/10. Set annual rent against average income of $51,102 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 20.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The filing record is not thin: 399 evictions over 5 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2009 at 12.9% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 8.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #7,836 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053125800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053125800?
Census tract 27053125800 in the Midtown Phillips neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053125800?
Median gross rent is $1,449/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053125800?
42.0% of residents in tract 27053125800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,828.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053125800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 84th, minority 81th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 27053125800 considered part of Midtown Phillips?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053125800 fall within Midtown Phillips (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053125800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 399 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053125800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.57% of renter households, peaking at 12.9% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053125800 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.16× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053125800 struggle to pay rent?
About 29.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053125800 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053125800 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053125800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
Windom Park
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Prospect Park
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Cedar-Riverside
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Ventura Village
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Willard-Hay
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Jordan
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Cedar-Riverside
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Whittier
8
/ 10 · High
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