Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally
Nicollet Island-East Bank Eviction Risk: Moderate , Minneapolis
Tract 27053103600 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 2,947 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
For landlords sizing up the Nicollet Island-East Bank area of Minneapolis, census tract 27053103600 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.8/10. On the national scale it ranks #26,875 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 31% of renter households, a high level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,838 a month against an average household income of $104,563 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 52% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,953
Renter share52.4%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate8.5%
Median income$104,563
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
28
th percentile
Low
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 44.9888, -93.2596 · click any tract to drill in
Why Nicollet Island-East Bank scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
8.5% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,838 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Nicollet Island-East Bank compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 21
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 21%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 20%Grade C
- 24%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 74Total filings over 5 yrs
- 3.20%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.0%Peak (2010)
- 8Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 105Total filings 2020-21
- 1.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.94×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.0%Housing insecurity
- 4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.2%Food insecurity
- 4.6%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 5.5%No health insurance
- 13.9%Frequent mental distress
- 20.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Nicollet Island-East Bank
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hennepin County average of 5.6 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 24% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053103600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053103600?
Census tract 27053103600 in the Nicollet Island-East Bank neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053103600?
Median gross rent is $1,838/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053103600?
8.5% of residents in tract 27053103600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,947.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053103600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 11th, minority 25th, housing 51th.
Q5
Is tract 27053103600 considered part of Nicollet Island-East Bank?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053103600 fall within Nicollet Island-East Bank (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053103600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 74 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053103600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.20% of renter households, peaking at 4.0% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053103600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.94× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053103600 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053103600 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053103600 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053103600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 24% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
Cedar-Riverside
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
University
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Como
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Hawthorne
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Elliot Park
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Cedar-Riverside
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Prospect Park
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Ventura Village
7.7
/ 10 · High
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