Northeast Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Minneapolis
Tract 27053102600 ·
Hennepin County, MN · pop 2,170 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 27053102600 covers part of the Northeast Park area of Minneapolis, MN, and scores 7.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,170. Against the Hennepin County average of 5.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.8 points.
Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%Stable renters 38%Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units855
Renter share54.4%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate19.1%
Median income$78,487
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Northeast Park
Moderate
Within parent city
57th percentile
#53 of 121 tracts In Minneapolis
Elevated
Within county
84th percentile
#53 of 329 tracts In Hennepin County
High
Within state
97th percentile
#48 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 45.0031, -93.2280 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northeast Park scores 7.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
19.1% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,532 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Northeast Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
62%Socioeconomic
36%Household composition
54%Racial/ethnic minority
51%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
0%Grade B
18%Grade C
21%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
160Total filings over 5 yrs
8.58%Avg annual filing rate
10.7%Peak (2012)
35Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year2009 to 2013
Filings climbed 25% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
50Total filings 2020-21
0.7Avg monthly (observed)
1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
0.43×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
13.0%Housing insecurity
7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
14.8%Food insecurity
10.5%SNAP enrollment
9.5%Transit barriers
9.8%No health insurance
18.0%Frequent mental distress
25.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northeast Park
The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10. Against Hennepin County at 43.1%, 30% of renters here are cost-burdened.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Court records carry 160 eviction filings across 5 observed years. At $1,532 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Minneapolis commands. The worst year on record was 2012, when 10.7% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 8.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #8,653 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 3.4 points hotter.
Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $78,487.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053102600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053102600?
Census tract 27053102600 in the Northeast Park neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053102600?
Median gross rent is $1,532/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053102600?
19.1% of residents in tract 27053102600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,170.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053102600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 36th, minority 54th, housing 51th.
Q5
Is tract 27053102600 considered part of Northeast Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053102600 fall within Northeast Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053102600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 160 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053102600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.58% of renter households, peaking at 10.7% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053102600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.43× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053102600 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053102600 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053102600 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053102600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 21% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.