Ventura Village Eviction Risk: Elevated , Minneapolis
Tract 27053005902 ·
Hennepin County, MN · pop 3,558 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 27053005902 sits in the Ventura Village neighborhood of Minneapolis eviction risk, Minnesota eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 6.8/10. On the national scale it ranks #6,973 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 57% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $989 monthly, set against $47,641 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 89% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 51%Stable renters 38%Owners 11%
Tract context
Occupied units1,119
Renter share89.5%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate30.0%
Median income$47,641
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Ventura Village
Very Low
Within parent city
88th percentile
#15 of 121 tracts In Minneapolis
High
Within county
95th percentile
#16 of 329 tracts In Hennepin County
Very High
Within state
99th percentile
#13 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 44.9630, -93.2644 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ventura Village scores 7.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
30.0% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$989 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How Ventura Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 100
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
99%Socioeconomic
98%Household composition
82%Racial/ethnic minority
98%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
0%Grade B
43%Grade C
57%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
196Total filings over 5 yrs
4.14%Avg annual filing rate
6.3%Peak (2009)
36Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year2009 to 2013
Filings dropped 33% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
307Total filings 2020-21
4.0Avg monthly (observed)
3.1Pre-pandemic baseline
1.29×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ventura Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
33.2%Housing insecurity
23.4%Utility-shutoff threat
42.8%Food insecurity
40.3%SNAP enrollment
23.9%Transit barriers
20.8%No health insurance
22.1%Frequent mental distress
40.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ventura Village
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hennepin County average of 5.6 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 196 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 4.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.3% of renter households in 2009.
In CDC survey modeling, about 33.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 23.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053005902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053005902?
Census tract 27053005902 in the Ventura Village neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053005902?
Median gross rent is $989/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053005902?
30.0% of residents in tract 27053005902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,558.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053005902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 98th, minority 82th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 27053005902 considered part of Ventura Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053005902 fall within Ventura Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053005902?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 196 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053005902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.14% of renter households, peaking at 6.3% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053005902 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.29× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053005902 struggle to pay rent?
About 33.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053005902 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053005902 scores 7.4/10, higher than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053005902 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 57% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.