Ventura Village Eviction Risk: High , Minneapolis

Food insecurity runs 42.8% against 17.8% nationally. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Against Hennepin County at 43.1%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened. 89% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. At $989 a month, rents run 28% under what the rest of Minneapolis commands.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 23.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 196 filings here across 5 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2009, when 6.3% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 4.1% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.