Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally
New Hope Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27053021502 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 4,145
Tract 27053021502 covers New Hope in Minnesota. Home to 4,145 residents, it scores 6.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 78% of US census tracts.
55% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,216 monthly, set against $56,200 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 65% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,556
Renter share64.8%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate18.0%
Median income$56,200
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
National
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Hope and the region
Centroid at 45.0520, -93.3875 · click any tract to drill in
Why New Hope scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New Hope
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
18.0% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,216 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Hope
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Hope
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Hope
6.7
How New Hope compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 241Total filings over 5 yrs
- 4.86%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.4%Peak (2010)
- 39Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 15% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 307Total filings 2020-21
- 4.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.20×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.8%Housing insecurity
- 12.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.9%Food insecurity
- 20.3%SNAP enrollment
- 13.2%Transit barriers
- 12.2%No health insurance
- 17.5%Frequent mental distress
- 35.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in New Hope
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New Hope eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hennepin County average of 5.6 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.20x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
In CDC survey modeling, about 18.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053021502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053021502?
Census tract 27053021502 in New Hope scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053021502?
Median gross rent is $1,216/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053021502?
18.0% of residents in tract 27053021502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,145.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053021502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 99th, minority 75th, housing 97th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053021502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 241 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053021502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.86% of renter households, peaking at 6.4% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27053021502 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.20× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27053021502 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27053021502 compare to New Hope overall?
Tract 27053021502 scores 5.2/10, right in line with the parent city of New Hope at 5.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Hope eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New Hope
Top eight tracts in New Hope ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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