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Census Tract · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Orono Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 27053027203 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 3,571 · 44% of tract blocks fall in Orono

Tract 27053027203 sits in Orono, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. 61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Hennepin County average of 43.1%.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 21% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,968
Renter share53.5%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$68,971

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Orono
Very High
Within county
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#180 of 329 tracts In Hennepin County
Moderate
Within state
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#589 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Elevated
National
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#41,206 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Orono and the region

Centroid at 44.9331, -93.6041 · click any tract to drill in

Why Orono scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Orono
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,253 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Orono
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Orono
2.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Orono
5.9

How Orono compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Orono risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.5This tracttract 0272034.0Oronoparent city5.1Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 71Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 1.79%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.2%Peak (2013)
  • 20Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 27053027203
Filings climbed 25% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 20Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.31×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Orono

Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. At $1,253 a month, rents run 31% under what the rest of Orono commands.

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.8/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.4/10. SNAP participation runs 6.6% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 9.3% against 17.8% nationally.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 71 filings here across 5 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2013 at 2.2% of renter households.

In a typical year about 1.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5/10.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 27053027203

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053027203?

Census tract 27053027203 in Orono scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27053027203?

Median gross rent is $1,253/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27053027203?

7.1% of residents in tract 27053027203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,571.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27053027203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 47th, minority 21th, housing 76th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053027203?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 71 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053027203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.79% of renter households, peaking at 2.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 27053027203 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.31× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 27053027203 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 27053027203 compare to Orono overall?

Tract 27053027203 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Orono at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orono; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Orono

Top eight tracts in Orono ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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