Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Orono Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27053027204 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 3,407
Tract 27053027204 sits in Orono, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 3,407 residents. The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units1,374
Renter share2.9%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate2.0%
Median income$194,643
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
3
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Orono and the region
Centroid at 44.9869, -93.6198 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orono scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Orono
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
2.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,083 rent vs county FMR
7.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Orono
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Orono
2.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Orono
5.9
How Orono compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 3%Socioeconomic
- 10%Household composition
- 2%Racial/ethnic minority
- 36%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 7Total filings 2020-21
- 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.44×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.9%Housing insecurity
- 2.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.8%Food insecurity
- 2.7%SNAP enrollment
- 3.7%Transit barriers
- 3.8%No health insurance
- 11.6%Frequent mental distress
- 20.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Orono
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Against the Hennepin County average of 5.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.1 points.
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10. The voucher gap is 23.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. SNAP participation runs 2.7% against 15.2% nationally.
Against Hennepin County at 43.1%, 50% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.4/10.
Average gross rent is $2,083, 15% above the Orono average. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.8% against 11.3% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 3% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053027204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053027204?
Census tract 27053027204 in Orono scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053027204?
Median gross rent is $2,083/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053027204?
2.0% of residents in tract 27053027204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,407.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053027204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 10th, minority 2th, housing 36th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 27053027204 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.44× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27053027204 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27053027204 compare to Orono overall?
Tract 27053027204 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Orono at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orono; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Orono
Top eight tracts in Orono ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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