Neighborhood · Independence, MN

Armstrong Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,498 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.2/10 · range 1.2–1.2

Armstrong is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Independence with 1 census tract and a population of 5,498 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.2/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 55% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 25% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,205/month sits 65% lower than the Independence citywide average ($3,469).

Risk score

1.2

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Armstrong vs Independence How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

55.4% +11%

Independence: 50.0%

Average gross rent

$1,205 -65%

Independence: $3,469

Average HH income

$130,263 -33%

Independence: $194,205

Poverty rate

3.7% +655%

Independence: 0.5%

Renter share

19.2% +144%

Independence: 7.9%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Armstrong and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 1.2–1.2

Why Armstrong scores 1.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts

4.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts

7.2

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts

5.3

Rent control risk

55% of income on rent · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts

9.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts

4.2

Tenant organizing strength

19% renter households · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts

2.6

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Economic stress

3.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Risk score comparison

Armstrong vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Armstrong

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
27053027002	1.2	5,498	55%	$1,205

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 28

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 13%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 50%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 17%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 58%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Armstrong

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

68Total filings (sum)
4.38%Avg annual filing rate
5.3%Peak year (2012)
5.25%Latest filed (2013)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

27Total filings 2020-21
0.4Avg monthly observed
0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
0.38×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Armstrong

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

6.8%Housing insecurity
4.0%Utility shutoff threat
7.6%Food insecurity
4.9%SNAP enrollment
5.6%No health insurance
24.2%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Armstrong

What is the eviction-risk score for Armstrong?

Armstrong scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Armstrong compare to Independence overall?

Armstrong scores 3.4 points lower than Independence overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 50% citywide. Average rent: $1,205 vs $3,469.

What is the average rent in Armstrong?

Average gross rent in Armstrong is $1,205/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Armstrong residents are renters?

19% of Armstrong households are renter-occupied (vs 8% in Independence). The neighborhood has 5,498 residents.

Is Armstrong a high social-vulnerability area?

Armstrong sits in the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Armstrong for landlords?

Armstrong carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Independence as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Armstrong?

Armstrong has 5,584 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (87.5%), Other / Multiracial (5.5%), Hispanic / Latino (3.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Armstrong

1.5 Shadow Creek 4 tracts · pop 13,801 2.7 Shelard Park 2 tracts · pop 8,193 4.5 Amhurst 2 tracts · pop 6,281 3.9 Presidents 3 tracts · pop 12,471 1.9 Parkwood Knolls 2 tracts · pop 10,938 4.2 Minnehaha 2 tracts · pop 6,053

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