1 census tracts · pop 5,498 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10
· range 3–3
Armstrong maps to a single census tract in Independence, MN, population 5,498. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, in the Lower tier. Average gross rent is $1,205, 65% below the Independence average of $3,469.
The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 9.5/10. Running cool is economic stress, at 1/10.
25% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.2/10.
Against a Independence baseline of 50.0%, 55% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Court records for this tract carry 68 eviction filings. SNAP participation is 4.9% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
4.0% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filing activity peaked in 2012 at 5.3% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 5.3% in 2013 against a 5.3% peak.
At 19% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Rent takes 11% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.
One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Armstrong vs IndependenceHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority17%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport58%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Armstrong
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
68Total filings (sum)
4.38%Avg annual filing rate
5.3%Peak year (2012)
5.25%Latest filed (2013)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
27Total filings 2020-21
0.4Avg monthly observed
0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
0.38×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Armstrong
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
6.8%Housing insecurity
4.0%Utility shutoff threat
7.6%Food insecurity
4.9%SNAP enrollment
5.6%No health insurance
24.2%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Armstrong
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Armstrong?
Armstrong scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Armstrong compare to Independence overall?
Armstrong scores 1.0 points lower than Independence overall (4/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 50% citywide. Average rent: $1,205 vs $3,469.
Q3
What is the average rent in Armstrong?
Average gross rent in Armstrong is $1,205/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Armstrong residents are renters?
19% of Armstrong households are renter-occupied (vs 8% in Independence). The neighborhood has 5,498 residents.
Q5
Is Armstrong a high social-vulnerability area?
Armstrong sits in the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Armstrong for landlords?
Armstrong carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Independence as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Armstrong?
Armstrong has 5,584 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (87.5%), Other / Multiracial (5.5%), Hispanic / Latino (3.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
