Arden Hills Eviction Risk: Lower

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. At $2,750 a month, rents run 61% over what the rest of Arden Hills commands.

The voucher gap is 63.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against the Ramsey County average of 5.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.6 points. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Housing insecurity runs 4.6% against 14.2% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.