Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Arden Hills Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27123040805 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 4,440 · 91% of tract blocks fall in Arden Hills
27123040805 is a census tract in Arden Hills, MN. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Against Ramsey County at 47.3%, roughly one in four of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units972
Renter share15.0%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate2.5%
Median income$145,441
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
1
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Arden Hills and the region
Centroid at 45.0553, -93.1726 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arden Hills scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Arden Hills
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
2.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,674 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arden Hills
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arden Hills
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arden Hills
4.7
How Arden Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 22%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 22Total filings 2020-21
- 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.67×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.1%Housing insecurity
- 3.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.2%Food insecurity
- 3.5%SNAP enrollment
- 6.0%Transit barriers
- 4.4%No health insurance
- 17.5%Frequent mental distress
- 22.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arden Hills
Against the Ramsey County average of 5.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.6 points. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. SNAP participation runs 3.5% against 15.2% nationally.
On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $145,441, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points cooler.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123040805
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123040805?
Census tract 27123040805 in Arden Hills scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123040805?
Median gross rent is $1,674/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123040805?
2.5% of residents in tract 27123040805 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,440.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123040805?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 3th, minority 22th, housing 39th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 27123040805 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.67× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27123040805 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27123040805 compare to Arden Hills overall?
Tract 27123040805 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Arden Hills at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arden Hills; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Arden Hills
Top eight tracts in Arden Hills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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