Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #81,634 of 84,120 nationally
Arden Hills Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27123040805 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 4,440 · 91% of tract blocks fall in Arden Hills
Census tract 27123040805 covers Arden Hills, home to 4,440 residents. For landlords it grades 4.7/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 29th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
25% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,674 a month against an average household income of $145,441 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. About 15% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units972
Renter share15.0%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate2.5%
Median income$145,441
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
1
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
9
th percentile
Very Low
National
3
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Arden Hills and the region
Centroid at 45.0553, -93.1726 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arden Hills scores 1.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Arden Hills
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
2.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,674 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arden Hills
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arden Hills
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arden Hills
4.7
How Arden Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 22%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 22Total filings 2020-21
- 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.67×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.1%Housing insecurity
- 3.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.2%Food insecurity
- 3.5%SNAP enrollment
- 6.0%Transit barriers
- 4.4%No health insurance
- 17.5%Frequent mental distress
- 22.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arden Hills
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Arden Hills, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Ramsey County average of 6.0 and in line with the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.67x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 6th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123040805
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123040805?
Census tract 27123040805 in Arden Hills scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123040805?
Median gross rent is $1,674/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123040805?
2.5% of residents in tract 27123040805 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,440.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123040805?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 3th, minority 22th, housing 39th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 27123040805 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.67× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27123040805 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27123040805 compare to Arden Hills overall?
Tract 27123040805 scores 1.2/10, lower than the parent city of Arden Hills at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arden Hills; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Arden Hills
Top eight tracts in Arden Hills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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