Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Snelling West Eviction Risk: Moderate , Falcon Heights
Tract 27123042001 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 1,808 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 27123042001 covers part of the Snelling West area of Falcon Heights, MN, and scores 5.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,808 residents. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units723
Renter share70.3%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate13.0%
Median income$59,384
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Falcon Heights and the region
Centroid at 44.9883, -93.1813 · click any tract to drill in
Why Snelling West scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Falcon Heights
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
13.0% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,145 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Falcon Heights
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Falcon Heights
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Falcon Heights
5.6
How Snelling West compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 2%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 14Total filings over 6 yrs
- 0.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.9%Peak (2015)
- 5Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 400% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 115Total filings 2020-21
- 1.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 10.22×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Snelling West. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.1%Housing insecurity
- 4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.7%Food insecurity
- 6.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.4%Transit barriers
- 5.4%No health insurance
- 16.1%Frequent mental distress
- 22.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Snelling West
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.8/10. This is renter territory: 70% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.2/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Against Ramsey County at 47.3%, 42% of renters here are cost-burdened.
SNAP participation runs 6.0% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 14 eviction filings across 6 observed years.
Food insecurity runs 10.7% against 17.8% nationally. The worst year on record was 2015, when 0.9% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Paul. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 0.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #28,095 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123042001
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123042001?
Census tract 27123042001 in the Snelling West neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123042001?
Median gross rent is $1,145/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123042001?
13.0% of residents in tract 27123042001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,808.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123042001?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 7th, minority 56th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 27123042001 considered part of Snelling West?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123042001 fall within Snelling West (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123042001?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 14 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 27123042001 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.45% of renter households, peaking at 0.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27123042001 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 10.22× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27123042001 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27123042001 compare to Falcon Heights overall?
Tract 27123042001 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Falcon Heights at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Falcon Heights; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27123042001 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Falcon Heights
Top eight tracts in Falcon Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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